Tuesday, December 20 2011 20:08

Armenia's Central Bank revises its economic growth forecasts


ArmInfo. Armenia's Central Bank has revised its economic growth forecast for 2011 to 3.9-4.5% and for Jan-Sept 2012 - to 3-4.6%.

This is lower than expected beforem and the main reason is the slowly recovering world demand and the pessimistic projections concerning the economic situation.

The industry is expected to register 11.8-13.8% growth in 2011 and 3.2- 5.2% growth in Jan-Sept 2012 - a bit higher than expected due to the growing activity of some local manufacturers, Construction will see 6.8-8.8% decline, with 3-5% growth expected in Jan-Sept 2012. Services will grow by 2.9-4.9% in 2011 and 1.7-3.7% in Jan-Sept 2012, agriculture - by 9.1-10.1% and 6-8%, respectively.

The CB says that the uncertainty coming from the economic slowdown in the world is having a negative effect on the Armenian economy, which may see a slower growth than was expected before.
POST A COMMENT
Input digits     


News
In 2026, total funding for Ministry of Environment`s activities to be  15.4 billion dramsIn 2026, total funding for Ministry of Environment`s activities to be  15.4 billion drams
Martin Galstyan: Armenia is in a good position in terms of high  economic growth and low inflationMartin Galstyan: Armenia is in a good position in terms of high  economic growth and low inflation
39.4 bln drams to be allocated for agricultural programs in Armenia  in 2026 - Minister39.4 bln drams to be allocated for agricultural programs in Armenia  in 2026 - Minister
Opportunities and Prospects for Cooperation Between Business and the Banking System in Syunik Region – IDBankOpportunities and Prospects for Cooperation Between Business and the Banking System in Syunik Region – IDBank
Armenian premier on advantages of Washington agreements for EAEU  member-states Armenian premier on advantages of Washington agreements for EAEU  member-states 
RA CB leaves refinancing rate unchanged RA CB leaves refinancing rate unchanged 
Armenia`s education expenses to reach 3% of GDP in 2026 Armenia`s education expenses to reach 3% of GDP in 2026 
EU investing 5 million euros in Armenia`s nuclear safetyEU investing 5 million euros in Armenia`s nuclear safety
AraratBank and Théâtron Festival Bring Smiles to Little OnesAraratBank and Théâtron Festival Bring Smiles to Little Ones
EIB Global provides €100 million to support Armenian micro and small businessesEIB Global provides €100 million to support Armenian micro and small businesses
Armenian pharmacists attended world`s largest industry exhibition,  CPHI Worldwide 2025Armenian pharmacists attended world`s largest industry exhibition,  CPHI Worldwide 2025
Armenia joins Germany`s Import Promotion Desk initiativeArmenia joins Germany`s Import Promotion Desk initiative
Ardshinbank Will Raffle off Around 3000 Gifts for Borrowers Who Pledge Gold as CollateralArdshinbank Will Raffle off Around 3000 Gifts for Borrowers Who Pledge Gold as Collateral
RA Ministry of Internal Affairs` seismic protection network to begin  next yearRA Ministry of Internal Affairs` seismic protection network to begin  next year
EDB: Economic activity in Armenia grew by 7.6% year-on-year in  January-September 2025EDB: Economic activity in Armenia grew by 7.6% year-on-year in  January-September 2025
"You Choose the Destination": New Promotion for AraratBank Mastercard World Travel Cardholders
Armenia reduces wine export volumes, Russia remains traditional  marketArmenia reduces wine export volumes, Russia remains traditional  market
Dollar, ruble transactions increased in Armenian interbank foreign  exchange  market from October 27-31, 2025Dollar, ruble transactions increased in Armenian interbank foreign  exchange  market from October 27-31, 2025
Armenia reduced copper and molybdenum concentrate exports in the  first half of 2025, while increasing shipments of zinc and precious  metal oresArmenia reduced copper and molybdenum concentrate exports in the  first half of 2025, while increasing shipments of zinc and precious  metal ores
Germany to provide152 million euros in support to ArmeniaGermany to provide152 million euros in support to Armenia
Armenia significantly increased automobile imports in the first half  of 2025Armenia significantly increased automobile imports in the first half  of 2025
New Campaign Ahead of Savings Day: IDBankNew Campaign Ahead of Savings Day: IDBank
Tashir Capital resubmitted its application for  reduction in  electricity tariffs Tashir Capital resubmitted its application for  reduction in  electricity tariffs 
Natural gas imports to Armenia increased by 4.5% in the first half of  2025, while liquefied gas imports increased by 29.4%Natural gas imports to Armenia increased by 4.5% in the first half of  2025, while liquefied gas imports increased by 29.4%
In 2026, Yerevan Municipality to receive 56.6 bln drams from  budget  - MayorIn 2026, Yerevan Municipality to receive 56.6 bln drams from  budget  - Mayor
Armenia`s imports of oil products 9.2% up in first half of 2025 Armenia`s imports of oil products 9.2% up in first half of 2025 
Armenian government continues talks on funding of corridor via  country - minister Armenian government continues talks on funding of corridor via  country - minister 
EU ready to assist Armenia in forming and developing sustainable  digital economyEU ready to assist Armenia in forming and developing sustainable  digital economy
AMD 35.3bln to be allocated for development of Armenia`s water sector  in 2026AMD 35.3bln to be allocated for development of Armenia`s water sector  in 2026
Armenia, EU strengthen cooperation in energy, transport, and road  safetyArmenia, EU strengthen cooperation in energy, transport, and road  safety
Armenians among top 3 visitors to GeorgiaArmenians among top 3 visitors to Georgia
EITI International Council to meet in Yerevan EITI International Council to meet in Yerevan
Armenia`s vice-premier, EIB representative discuss new areas of  cooperationArmenia`s vice-premier, EIB representative discuss new areas of  cooperation
Armenia, Germany form reliable cooperation based on common values -  ministerArmenia, Germany form reliable cooperation based on common values -  minister
Think beyond today. Why save?Think beyond today. Why save?
Aluminum foil exports  decreased in Armenia while maintaining their  customs valueAluminum foil exports  decreased in Armenia while maintaining their  customs value
Armenian Customs Service: Gold trade decreased significantly in the  first half of 2025Armenian Customs Service: Gold trade decreased significantly in the  first half of 2025
Armenia`s diamond trade decreased  by almost 50% in the first half of  2025Armenia`s diamond trade decreased  by almost 50% in the first half of  2025
Arsen Torosyan: 420,000 citizens to benefit from pensioner cashback  program by the end of next yearArsen Torosyan: 420,000 citizens to benefit from pensioner cashback  program by the end of next year
State Revenue Committee,  EBRD, and Grant Thornton Armenia launch  skills development program for refugeesState Revenue Committee,  EBRD, and Grant Thornton Armenia launch  skills development program for refugees
GIZ  entrusted with implementation of programs worth ?15.6 million as  part of Armenia`s technical cooperation with Germany GIZ  entrusted with implementation of programs worth ?15.6 million as  part of Armenia`s technical cooperation with Germany
Social Ministry`s program budget to be increased by 9.6% in 2026Social Ministry`s program budget to be increased by 9.6% in 2026
Armenia extending ban on export of ferrous and non-ferrous metal  scrap and waste until August 2, 2026Armenia extending ban on export of ferrous and non-ferrous metal  scrap and waste until August 2, 2026
IMF: Armenia- Azerbaijan improving relations to facilitate greater  regional cooperation and integrationIMF: Armenia- Azerbaijan improving relations to facilitate greater  regional cooperation and integration
Armenian government to support procurement process of Voskehat and  Areni grapesArmenian government to support procurement process of Voskehat and  Areni grapes
Armenia to get $250 million loan from  ADB to address housing needs  of internally displaced persons from Nagorno-KarabakhArmenia to get $250 million loan from  ADB to address housing needs  of internally displaced persons from Nagorno-Karabakh
New bridgework near Armavir - South Caucasus Railway New bridgework near Armavir - South Caucasus Railway 
EU to allocate EUR 5mln for enhancing Armenia`s nuclear safety and  radiation protection EU to allocate EUR 5mln for enhancing Armenia`s nuclear safety and  radiation protection 
Armenia`s Ministry of Finance proposes tax benefits for  government-funded programs Armenia`s Ministry of Finance proposes tax benefits for  government-funded programs 
Armenia, Argentina discuss prospects for joint technology projects Armenia, Argentina discuss prospects for joint technology projects 
Construction of 32-km-long section of Kajaran-Agarak highway must  meet high quality standards - official Construction of 32-km-long section of Kajaran-Agarak highway must  meet high quality standards - official 
Armenia attaches importance to continued cooperation with EIB in  implementing major infrastructure programs and  private sector  developmentArmenia attaches importance to continued cooperation with EIB in  implementing major infrastructure programs and  private sector  development
Tashir Capital will once again appeal to Public Services Regulatory  Commission on October 30th, demanding reduction in electricity  tariffs for populationTashir Capital will once again appeal to Public Services Regulatory  Commission on October 30th, demanding reduction in electricity  tariffs for population
Fourth meeting of EU-Armenia Investment Coordination Platform held in  YerevanFourth meeting of EU-Armenia Investment Coordination Platform held in  Yerevan
ENA former management  proposed reducing electricity tariffs to  Public Services Regulatory Commission, but the proposal was denied -  David GhazinyanENA former management  proposed reducing electricity tariffs to  Public Services Regulatory Commission, but the proposal was denied -  David Ghazinyan
Armenian-German intergovernmental talks starting in BerlinArmenian-German intergovernmental talks starting in Berlin
Connected, Convenient, Converse: Andranik Grigoryan Presents Converse Bank’s Digital Transformation Journey at the BACEE ConferenceConnected, Convenient, Converse: Andranik Grigoryan Presents Converse Bank’s Digital Transformation Journey at the BACEE Conference
In 2024, Armenia exported 48 million liters of bottled brandyIn 2024, Armenia exported 48 million liters of bottled brandy
In the first eight months of 2025, Armenia`s exports to Germany  exceeded the volume from 2024 - Economy MinisterIn the first eight months of 2025, Armenia`s exports to Germany  exceeded the volume from 2024 - Economy Minister
VWFA discusses opportunities to export Armenian wine to JapanVWFA discusses opportunities to export Armenian wine to Japan
Read more
Exchange rates
04.11.2025
RUB4.740.01
USD382.550.00
EUR440.12-0.35
GBP500.15-2.10
CAD271.87-0.49
JPY24.910.10
CNY53.69-0.03
CHF473.34-0.29


Experts
Expert: Electricity tariff containment in Armenia is only temporaryExpert: Electricity tariff containment in Armenia is only temporary
Political Scientist: Armenia`s withdrawal from  Eurasian Economic  Union (EAEU) to result in its dependence on Azerbaijani and Turkish  marketsPolitical Scientist: Armenia`s withdrawal from  Eurasian Economic  Union (EAEU) to result in its dependence on Azerbaijani and Turkish  markets
Artur Avetisyan: All discussions regarding the choice of a future NPP  model will remain mere talk until there is a vision for strategic  developmentArtur Avetisyan: All discussions regarding the choice of a future NPP  model will remain mere talk until there is a vision for strategic  development
Read more

Commented
ATI.SU: Demand for international cargo transportation 30% up in  ArmeniaATI.SU: Demand for international cargo transportation 30% up in  Armenia
Civil Contract nominates Armen Ktoyan for  Central Bank Board Member  positionCivil Contract nominates Armen Ktoyan for  Central Bank Board Member  position
Armenia, France considering prospects for expanding technological  cooperation  Armenia, France considering prospects for expanding technological  cooperation  

Company bonds
UCO CJSC "GLOBAL CREDIT"1
UCO CJSC "GLOBAL CREDIT"3
UCO CJSC "GLOBAL CREDIT"4
UCO CJSC "GLOBAL CREDIT"5
UCO CJSC "GLOBAL CREDIT"7
"National Mortgage Company"2A
"National Mortgage Company"2B
UCO CJSC “FINCA” 1
UCO CJSC “FINCA” 2