Wednesday, November 26 2014 17:10

Central Bank reduces forecasts for Armenia's labor market for 2014-2017


ArmInfo. The Central Bank of Armenia (CBA) has reduced the forecasts for the Armenian labor market for 2014-2017. The CBA expects the nominal salary growth rates to slow down and the unemployment to rise. According to the CBA's monetary policy program for Q4 2014, this year the nominal salary is expected to grow by 8.2% versus the previously expected 11.6%. In 2015 the wages will rise by 8%, and in 2016-2017 - by 7%.

The new forecast of the CBA is based on the changes in the expected economic growth and actual slowdown in the salary growth rates despite the forecasts. The salary growth expected for 2014 will exceed the average annual indices registered over the past few years. This will be due to the growth of the minimum salary threshold - to 50 thsd AMD, increase of remuneration of labor at private companies as a result of introduction of the funded pension system, as well as growth in wages in the state sector, which mostly fell on Q3 2014. In 2015 the salary growth will be conditioned by the salary rise in the state sector, and one more enhancement of the minimum salary threshold. In 2016-2017 wages will grow due to the expected acceleration of economic growth, stabilization of inflation in the governmental policy aimed at raising the wages.

According to the new forecast, the average unemployment amid the decelerated rates of economic growth at the yearend of 2014 versus 2013 will rise by 0.6% to 16.8%. By the previous forecast, the average unemployment at the yearend of 2014 would have risen by 0.3 pct points to 16.5%.

The Armenian National Statistical Service of Armenia says that in September 2014 the average salary in Armenia made up 171,254 AMD (up 8% versus Sept 2013, up 2.7% for Q3 alone). The wages in the state sector rose by 10.8% to 154,565 AMD (up 8.35 for Q3 alone). In the private sector the average salary totaled 194,125 AMD (up 4.8% versus Sept 2013, down 3% for Q3 alone).

In 2013 unemployment in Armenia made up 16.2% versus 17.3% in 2012. In Q1 2014, unemployment made up 17.8%, in Q2 - 17.5%. In early 2014 the manpower resources in the country totaled 2189.1 thsd (down 3.2% versus early 2013). The economically active population of Armenia numbered 1388.4 thsd (down 2.1% versus early 2013).

In September 2014, the number of job-seekers totaled 70.8 thsd (up 5.8% versus Sept 2013), and the number of unemployed was 65.4 thsd (up 17% versus Sept 2013). The number of unemployed women was 47.2 thsd or 72.2% (up 14%), and unemployed men - 18.2 thsd (up 25.5%). In terms of unemployment, Yerevan is in the lead with 15.2 thsd unemployed citizens. Shirak Marz ranks next with 10 thsd. 7,000 unemployed people are aged 16-24, and 8.6 thsd are aged 25-30.
POST A COMMENT
Input digits     


News
AraratBank Donates AMD 8 million to the Reconstruction of the Spandaryan CanalAraratBank Donates AMD 8 million to the Reconstruction of the Spandaryan Canal
Growth of economic activity in Armenia is due to unstable factors -  Luys Foundation Growth of economic activity in Armenia is due to unstable factors -  Luys Foundation 
New Education Platforms through Cooperation between AraratBank and Aren Mehrabyan FoundationNew Education Platforms through Cooperation between AraratBank and Aren Mehrabyan Foundation
RA CB forecasts GDP growth of 6.3-4.1% in 2026RA CB forecasts GDP growth of 6.3-4.1% in 2026
RA State Revcnue Committee is supporting businesses in properly  organizing their operation - premier RA State Revcnue Committee is supporting businesses in properly  organizing their operation - premier 
Armenian economy minister on country`s export and import plans with  Azerbaijan Armenian economy minister on country`s export and import plans with  Azerbaijan 
2% cashback for all ArCa cardholders not to apply to cashless  purchases from foreign businesses, says Deputy Finance Minister2% cashback for all ArCa cardholders not to apply to cashless  purchases from foreign businesses, says Deputy Finance Minister
Armenia has for many years been importing oil products from Turkiye -  expert Armenia has for many years been importing oil products from Turkiye -  expert 
RA health minister ready for joint programs with EAEU partners RA health minister ready for joint programs with EAEU partners 
Roundtable discussion `Kazakhstan-Armenia: Dialogue in Tourism` held  in Yerevan Roundtable discussion `Kazakhstan-Armenia: Dialogue in Tourism` held  in Yerevan
Armenia hopes for Russia to restore railway connection with  Nakhchivan, Azerbaijan and Turkiye as soon as possibleArmenia hopes for Russia to restore railway connection with  Nakhchivan, Azerbaijan and Turkiye as soon as possible
Government ready to assist business contacts between Armenia,  Azerbaijan - Armenian premierGovernment ready to assist business contacts between Armenia,  Azerbaijan - Armenian premier
Armenian premier on forecast of GDP growth in 2026Armenian premier on forecast of GDP growth in 2026
Index of prices for industrial prices 103.6% in Armenia in Jan-Nov  2025Index of prices for industrial prices 103.6% in Armenia in Jan-Nov  2025
Armenian government approves measures and procedures for cashback on  non-cash transactions using ArCa NPS cardsArmenian government approves measures and procedures for cashback on  non-cash transactions using ArCa NPS cards
AraratBank Receives Visa Trusted Partnership Award 2025AraratBank Receives Visa Trusted Partnership Award 2025
Exponential growth in economic activity in Armenia on New Year eve Exponential growth in economic activity in Armenia on New Year eve 
Armenia to have Kap reservoir and new village - premier Armenia to have Kap reservoir and new village - premier 
RA Ministry of High-Tech Industry to expand cooperation with  Eleveight AI company RA Ministry of High-Tech Industry to expand cooperation with  Eleveight AI company 
Armenian government extends ban on export of some agricultural  products Armenian government extends ban on export of some agricultural  products 
Ban on export of whitefish caviar to be extended for six months Ban on export of whitefish caviar to be extended for six months 
Armenia and Israel discuss prospects for expanding economic  cooperationArmenia and Israel discuss prospects for expanding economic  cooperation
2% cashback to be refunded to ArCa local cards in Armenia from 20262% cashback to be refunded to ArCa local cards in Armenia from 2026
IDBank Employees’ New Year Gifts for “Hayordi” Foundation beneficiary childrenIDBank Employees’ New Year Gifts for “Hayordi” Foundation beneficiary children
Armenian, German taxation systems discussed at RA State Revenue  CommitteeArmenian, German taxation systems discussed at RA State Revenue  Committee
Armenian economy minister comments on Azerbaijani petrol price in  Armenia Armenian economy minister comments on Azerbaijani petrol price in  Armenia 
RA Ministry of Territorial Administration and Infrastructure seeking  candidate for position of acting general director of Construction of  a New Nuclear Power Plant company RA Ministry of Territorial Administration and Infrastructure seeking  candidate for position of acting general director of Construction of  a New Nuclear Power Plant company 
WB approves US $250 million in financing for Housing and Mortgage  Market Improvement Project in ArmeniaWB approves US $250 million in financing for Housing and Mortgage  Market Improvement Project in Armenia
EEC Board approves topic on consumer rights protection in EAEU  countriesEEC Board approves topic on consumer rights protection in EAEU  countries
Russia is considering supplying fertilizer to Armenia via Azerbaijan  - vice-premierRussia is considering supplying fertilizer to Armenia via Azerbaijan  - vice-premier
FLYONE ARMENIA launches Yerevan-Amsterdam-Yerevan flightsFLYONE ARMENIA launches Yerevan-Amsterdam-Yerevan flights
Kaps reservoir construction suspended Kaps reservoir construction suspended 
Yerevan`s 2026 budget estimate ready Yerevan`s 2026 budget estimate ready 
Media: Grain from Volgograd to be delivered to Armenia via AzerbaijanMedia: Grain from Volgograd to be delivered to Armenia via Azerbaijan
MSMEs share in Armenia`s GDP increased from 31% to 34% in one year MSMEs share in Armenia`s GDP increased from 31% to 34% in one year 
WizzAir to launch direct flights between Yerevan and London starting  in summer 2026WizzAir to launch direct flights between Yerevan and London starting  in summer 2026
Scholarship for 100 Artsakh Students as Part of IDBank’s “Side by Side” ProgramScholarship for 100 Artsakh Students as Part of IDBank’s “Side by Side” Program
EAEU leaders agree on approaches to developing trade with their key  partners in medium termEAEU leaders agree on approaches to developing trade with their key  partners in medium term
Kılıç: Turkish Airlines will begin daily flights on the Istanbul-Yerevan-Istanbul route from March 11, 2026.Kılıç: Turkish Airlines will begin daily flights on the Istanbul-Yerevan-Istanbul route from March 11, 2026.
Armenia proposes Egypt to consider opening  TUMO centerArmenia proposes Egypt to consider opening  TUMO center
Mining remains a social pillar of Armenia`s regions - studyMining remains a social pillar of Armenia`s regions - study
Armenia, Egypt discuss prospects for developing cooperation in  agricultureArmenia, Egypt discuss prospects for developing cooperation in  agriculture
The results of the second Junius financial literacy competition have been summarizedThe results of the second Junius financial literacy competition have been summarized
 From idea to implementation: Ameriabank Presents the Programs Implemented under My Ameria, My Armenia CSR Campaign From idea to implementation: Ameriabank Presents the Programs Implemented under My Ameria, My Armenia CSR Campaign
Armenia`s Ambassador to the United States attends USACC roundtable on  TRIPPArmenia`s Ambassador to the United States attends USACC roundtable on  TRIPP
Expert casts doubt on origin of recent Azerbaijani gasoline import to  ArmeniaExpert casts doubt on origin of recent Azerbaijani gasoline import to  Armenia
Pashinyan one again thanked Aliyev at EAEU Supreme Council meetingPashinyan one again thanked Aliyev at EAEU Supreme Council meeting
First robotic surgery performed in ArmeniaFirst robotic surgery performed in Armenia
World Bank remains reliable strategic partner in Armenia`s  infrastructure development, says MinisterWorld Bank remains reliable strategic partner in Armenia`s  infrastructure development, says Minister
In Armenia`s interbank foreign exchange market from December 15 to  19, 2025, there was a decrease in dollar and ruble transactions, with  an increase in euro transactionsIn Armenia`s interbank foreign exchange market from December 15 to  19, 2025, there was a decrease in dollar and ruble transactions, with  an increase in euro transactions
Train loaded with  SOCAR petroleum products arrives in ArmeniaTrain loaded with  SOCAR petroleum products arrives in Armenia
RA Finance Minister, French Ambassador and AFD representative discuss  budget support programs RA Finance Minister, French Ambassador and AFD representative discuss  budget support programs 
RA Economy Minister: 22 railcars of Azerbaijani petroleum crossing  Armenian-Georgian borderRA Economy Minister: 22 railcars of Azerbaijani petroleum crossing  Armenian-Georgian border
Azerbaijani fuel import to Armenia  indicates  lack of economic  policy: David AnanyanAzerbaijani fuel import to Armenia  indicates  lack of economic  policy: David Ananyan
Fly Kish starts operating flights on route Tehran-Yerevan-Tehran Fly Kish starts operating flights on route Tehran-Yerevan-Tehran 
Analyst: EDB sees a possible slowdown in economic growth outside the country as the primary risk for the Armenian economy in 2026-2028Analyst: EDB sees a possible slowdown in economic growth outside the country as the primary risk for the Armenian economy in 2026-2028
Prime Minister: Train carrying petroleum products  heading from  Azerbaijan to ArmeniaPrime Minister: Train carrying petroleum products  heading from  Azerbaijan to Armenia
RA Prime Minister confirms that Hungary has lifted its veto on the  decision to allocate 20 million euros to Armenia within the framework  of  European Peace Facility RA Prime Minister confirms that Hungary has lifted its veto on the  decision to allocate 20 million euros to Armenia within the framework  of  European Peace Facility
Armenia  approached its Russian partners with proposal to discuss   possibility of constructing railway line from Yeraskh to  Nakhichevan  borderArmenia  approached its Russian partners with proposal to discuss   possibility of constructing railway line from Yeraskh to  Nakhichevan  border
RA Prime Minister of Armenia to attend  Supreme Eurasian Economic  Council Meeting  in St. PetersburgRA Prime Minister of Armenia to attend  Supreme Eurasian Economic  Council Meeting  in St. Petersburg
Read more
Exchange rates
29.12.2025
RUB4.910.01
USD381.46-0.01
EUR448.71-0.43
GBP514.860.30
CAD278.58-0.23
JPY24.400.01
CNY54.450.01
CHF482.74-0.38


Experts
Armenia has for many years been importing oil products from Turkiye -  expert Armenia has for many years been importing oil products from Turkiye -  expert 
Mining remains a social pillar of Armenia`s regions - studyMining remains a social pillar of Armenia`s regions - study
Analyst: EDB sees a possible slowdown in economic growth outside the country as the primary risk for the Armenian economy in 2026-2028Analyst: EDB sees a possible slowdown in economic growth outside the country as the primary risk for the Armenian economy in 2026-2028
Read more

Commented
ATI.SU: Demand for international cargo transportation 30% up in  ArmeniaATI.SU: Demand for international cargo transportation 30% up in  Armenia
Civil Contract nominates Armen Ktoyan for  Central Bank Board Member  positionCivil Contract nominates Armen Ktoyan for  Central Bank Board Member  position
Armenia, France considering prospects for expanding technological  cooperation  Armenia, France considering prospects for expanding technological  cooperation  

Company bonds
UCO CJSC "GLOBAL CREDIT"1
UCO CJSC "GLOBAL CREDIT"3
UCO CJSC "GLOBAL CREDIT"4
UCO CJSC "GLOBAL CREDIT"5
UCO CJSC "GLOBAL CREDIT"7
"National Mortgage Company"2A
"National Mortgage Company"2B
UCO CJSC “FINCA” 1
UCO CJSC “FINCA” 2