Wednesday, August 11 2021 18:30
Alina Hovhannisyan

Hrant Bagratyan: The Armenian government should move from a policy of  maintaining consumption to a policy of stimulating supply

Hrant Bagratyan: The Armenian government should move from a policy of  maintaining consumption to a policy of stimulating supply

ArmInfo."For 20 years, I have asked the previous authorities, their predecessors and the  current government to begin serious work on developing measures aimed  at stimulating investment, moving from a policy of maintaining  consumption to a policy of stimulating supply," said well-known  economist, former Prime Minister of Armenia Hrant Bagratyan speaking  at the V Congress of the Republican Union of Employers of Armenia.

In this context, he explained that the Armenian economy is developing  on the basis of a consumption policy. However, a moment comes when it  is impossible to continue this way, since the latter does not provide  for the introduction of new technologies and the modernization of the  economy. "We need to start working on the proposal policy," Bagratyan  said.

The former prime minister also conditioned his opinion on the state  of the country's economy in terms of a number of indicators,  including GDP per capita, which is $ 4.000 in Armenia, while the  world average is about $ 12,000. In addition, Bagratyan noted that  the share of solar energy in the total structure of generated energy  in the country is 0.8%, while in developed countries it reaches 9.5%,  and in the world as a whole - 4%. In terms of the use of electric  vehicles, according to the former prime minister, Armenia is also  several times inferior to the world average. "This means that in 10  years we will have an even worse situation in the country than  today," Bagratyan concluded.

Bagratyan also stated that in order to have a supply policy at the  basis of the economy, first of all it is necessary to have a  specialized banking system, while we have a universal one. "This is  what our leaders of the Central Bank did not do," he complained. The  former prime minister stressed that universal standards, including  those for reserves, are in effect in the banking system of Armenia,  and no incentives have been created for investment project financing.  "Why should banks engage in investment projects in this way if they  can be limited to trade deals?" He complained, noting that the  country was 15-20 years late with these important decisions.

At the same time, Bagratyan urged not to believe the statement of the  Regulator about the need to adhere to the so-called "floating rate"  in its monetary policy. <These are all fairy tales. Do not believe,  there is no such thing for a long time in the world. We must have a  fixed rate that is constantly getting cheaper, supporting a  manufacturer and stimulating exports>, he declared.

Thirdly, according to the former prime minister, in order to switch  to a proposal policy, it is necessary to abolish VAT payments at the  border. Moreover, in his opinion, Armenia should gradually switch to  a turnover tax, which will allow differentiating taxes by industry,  for example, to set 9% for trade, and 0% for IT.

Another important component Bagratyan called the formation of a state  sovereign investment fund. "Why can't we create a sovereign fund  when, according to the very minimum estimates, the current assets of  all Armenians in the world are about $ 90 billion drams (y-o-yl  income), and the entire fortune is estimated at about $ 240 billion?  And are not we able to spend at least 10% of these funds on the  development of the country's economy, on its modernization?,"  Bagratyan noted, complaining that both the former government and the  current government are either unable or unwilling to solve these  problems.