Monday, December 26 2022 14:37
Alina Hovhannisyan

EDB analysts expect 12% growth in mutual trade in EAEU by end of 2022

EDB analysts expect 12% growth in mutual trade in EAEU by end of 2022

ArmInfo. According to the results of 2022, the volume of mutual trade of the EAEU will be about $80-83 billion, which will exceed the indicator of a year ago by 12%.  This is stated in the weekly Macro Review of the Analytical Group of  EDB Chief Economist Evgeny Vinokurov.

Analysts report that for 10 months of 2022, the volume of mutual  trade of the EAEU member states amounted to about $67 billion, with  an increase of 12.8% per year. <Changes in supply chains have created  new opportunities for some EAEU economies. Thus, according to the  results of 10 months of 2022, Armenia's exports to Belarus and Russia  increased 2.8-fold and 2.5 fold, respectively, Kyrgyzstan's exports  to these countries increased 2-fold and 2.6-fold, respectively,  Kazakhstan's exports increased by 1.2-fold each of the countries>,  the source says.

It should be noted that according to the RA Statistical Committee,  Armenia's foreign trade turnover with the EAEU countries in  January-October 2022 amounted to $3.98 billion, with a sharp  acceleration in y-o-y growth from 13.9% to 88%, against the  background of a more tangible increase in exports - 2.5-fold (from  25.5% a year earlier) - up to $1.78 billion, than imports - by 55.9%  (from 8.8% a year earlier) - up to $2.2 billion.  

Russia continues to maintain leadership in terms of foreign trade  turnover in general and in terms of exports and imports in  particular. In particular, the foreign trade turnover between Russia  and Armenia in January- October 2022 reached $3.8 billion, with a  sharp acceleration in y-o-y growth from 14.3% to 86.4%, mainly due to  an increase in exports by several times. Thus, the volume of exports  of goods from Armenia to Russia significantly accelerated the y-o-y  growth from 24.9% to 2.5-fold, which, at a slightly less restrained  upward pace, was also observed in the volume of imports of goods from  Russia to Armenia - from 9.6% to 53.4%, with the provision of volumes  at the level of $1.7 billion and $2.1 billion, respectively.  

The share of Russia in the foreign trade turnover of Armenia,  increased year-on-year from 31.1% to 34.8%, against the backdrop of a  significant increase in the share in exports from 28.1% to 41.4%,  with a decline in the share in imports from 32.9% to 30.8%.  Mutual  trade with Belarus for the reporting period increased 2.3-fold,  amounting to $146.7 million. At the same time, exports showed a  2.8-fold increase to $54.5 million, imports - 2-fold to $97.2  million.  

Trade turnover with Kazakhstan increased in January-October 2.4-fold  to $34.7 million, exports - by 46.2% to $13.4 million, imports  3.9-fold to $21.3 million.  The volume of mutual trade with  Kyrgyzstan in y-o-y terms increased 2-fold to $4.4 million, export -  by 77.4% to $3.7 million, import - 7.3-fold to $783.5 thousand.  In  particular, the negative balance of Armenia's foreign trade with the  EAEU countries decreased in January-October 2022 by 41% per annum -  to $414.6 million