Wednesday, March 1 2023 17:09
Alexandr Avanesov

Luys Foundation: Reducing share of industry in Armenia`s GDP to have  negative impact on economy in long term

Luys Foundation: Reducing share of industry in Armenia`s GDP to have  negative impact on economy in long term

ArmInfo. In Armenia, industrial growth continues to lag behind growth in economic activity. This is  stated in the study of the "Luys" Foundation, which used the data  published by the Statistical Committee of the Republic of Armenia for  the year 2023 in its analysis of the socio-economic developments of  the RA economy in January 2023.  

According to these data, in January  2023, the pace of industrial growth c ontinued to lag the growth of  economic activity, worsening the structure of the economy. In January  2023, industrial growth was only 1.4%, and the pace of economic  activity - 10.5%. "This means that the share of industry in the  structure of the economy has decreased, which in the long term will  negatively affect the economy and may lead to a decrease in its  potential," the Foundation's study says.  Tax growth also lagged  behind economic growth. The growth of tax revenues in January 2023  was 15.3%.  

Taking into account the nominal growth of economic activity,  considering the inflation rate, it would be 19.5%. <Of course, it is  difficult to judge tax revenues from one month's data, since taxes  formed in January are mainly paid in February (in addition, there is  also a change in the legislation related to export duties). However,  taking into account the fact that in 2022 the tax/GDP ratio did not  improve, amounting to 22.7%, it is doubtful that the ratio of taxes  to GDP established by the RA government by 2026 will be at least 25%.  To achieve the planned indicator, it is necessary to constantly  improve both tax legislation and administration, which will ensure  the outstripping growth of tax revenues compared to the economy, and  fulfill the government's program>, the message says.