Tuesday, May 16 2023 14:18
Alexandr Avanesov

CBA Forecast: Inflation in Armenia to reach target level of 4% from  H2 2023

CBA Forecast: Inflation in Armenia to reach target level of 4% from  H2 2023

ArmInfo. The 12-month inflation has increased significantly since March 2022, reaching 10.3% at the  end of the second quarter, and then, as a result of the implemented monetary policy, it gradually decreased and reached 8.3% at the end of the year. This was stated by the Deputy Governor of the Central  Bank Armen Nurbekyan at May 15 sitting of the NA Standing Committee on Financial-Credit and Budgetary Affairs, presenting the annual report on the activity of the RA Central Bank.

As the press service of the RA NA reports, it was noted that the  inflation rate will gradually weaken and stabilize around the target  4% index from the second half of 2023 under the influence of the  implemented consistent monetary policy.  In the period from March to  December 2022, the nominal cost of the Armenian AMD compared to the  US dollar was about 20%, significantly promoting the mitigation of  the expansion of the inflationary environment under the influence of  foreign demand.  The Deputy Governor of the Central Bank also  mentioned that the high rate of growth of economic activity is  maintained in Armenia, which is significantly supported by the high  external demand formed in the service sector, as well as the growth  of the construction industry.

During 2022, as a result of the significant increase in international  visitors and financial flows, the AMD exchange rate has significantly  increased in nominal and real terms.  In the fourth quarter of 2022,  economic growth was 12.8%, which was slightly lower than the estimate  of the previous programme of the Central Bank, but still remains  high. The latter was mainly contributed by the high external demand  in the service sector.  The Deputy Governor of the RA Central Bank  responded to many questions of the Committee members, which were  related to inflation, monetary policy, international investments,  etc.

The questions of the deputies of the NA Civil Contract Faction  Tsovinar Vardanyan and Davit Arushanyan were about the application of  possible sanctions against our country.  Armen Nurbekyan answered  that sanctions are a priority for us, everything is being done so  that the financial system of Armenia is free from sanctions. "We are  having continuous discussions with the Government colleagues on this  issue," Armen Nurbekyan said.  The deputy of the NA Civil Contract  Faction Hovik Aghazaryan positively evaluated the report of the  Central Bank, proposed to legislatively regulate the existing  problems regarding construction in order to avoid a possible crisis  in this sector.

The Chair of the NA Standing Committee on Financial-Credit and  Budgetary Affairs Gevorg Papoyan spoke about the problems of the  construction industry and shared his concerns. "We have a problem of  standards. That issue should be resolved, because each standard  reduces risks with it," the Committee Chair underlined.

The annual report on the activity of the RA Central Bank was taken  into consideration. 

POST A COMMENT
Input digits     


News
Armenia to sign an additional agreement with EDB on financing E-Labor  Exchange programmeArmenia to sign an additional agreement with EDB on financing E-Labor  Exchange programme
As of September 20, 2023, state treasury of Armenia received 14.5%  more taxes than during  same period in 2022As of September 20, 2023, state treasury of Armenia received 14.5%  more taxes than during  same period in 2022
Armenia, UAE to soon sign several agreements in various fields,  Kerobyan told journalists Armenia, UAE to soon sign several agreements in various fields,  Kerobyan told journalists 
Armenia, UAE sign 3 memorandums of understandingArmenia, UAE sign 3 memorandums of understanding
In Armenia`s insurance market, loss ratio for CMPTL began to grow  slowlyIn Armenia`s insurance market, loss ratio for CMPTL began to grow  slowly
Ministry of Economy of Armenia establishes working relations with  German BVMWMinistry of Economy of Armenia establishes working relations with  German BVMW
Armenia`s national debt $11.4bln Armenia`s national debt $11.4bln 
Government of Armenia approves Program for extending operational life  of Unit 2 at Metsamor NPPGovernment of Armenia approves Program for extending operational life  of Unit 2 at Metsamor NPP
Deputy Finance Minister of Armenia, WB Regional Director for South  Caucasus discuss current cooperation issuesDeputy Finance Minister of Armenia, WB Regional Director for South  Caucasus discuss current cooperation issues
Yerevan hosting first Armenian-Korean business forum Yerevan hosting first Armenian-Korean business forum 
Armenian-Iraqi Intergovernmental joint commission`s 3rd meeting in  Baghdad concluded with signing of protocolArmenian-Iraqi Intergovernmental joint commission`s 3rd meeting in  Baghdad concluded with signing of protocol
CBA, IMF discuss introduction of new approaches to monetary policyCBA, IMF discuss introduction of new approaches to monetary policy
Solar photovoltaic floating station opened on Lake YerevanSolar photovoltaic floating station opened on Lake Yerevan
IFC`s cooperation with private sector of Armenia is important from  perspective of implementing  best standards - Deputy Prime MinisterIFC`s cooperation with private sector of Armenia is important from  perspective of implementing  best standards - Deputy Prime Minister
Tech Week to be held in Vanadzor this yearTech Week to be held in Vanadzor this year
Armenian delegation participates in 4th BRITACOFArmenian delegation participates in 4th BRITACOF
Armenian Economy Minister met with Iraqi PresidentArmenian Economy Minister met with Iraqi President
Martin Galstyan: deflationary impact from external sector on Armenian  economy will continueMartin Galstyan: deflationary impact from external sector on Armenian  economy will continue
Martin Galstyan: Inflation risks are more manageable todayMartin Galstyan: Inflation risks are more manageable today
Vahe Davtyan: Middle East Corridor pushes back prospect of launching  so-called Zangezur Corridor even moreVahe Davtyan: Middle East Corridor pushes back prospect of launching  so-called Zangezur Corridor even more
Central Bank Governor: As risk environment softens, interest rates  will declineCentral Bank Governor: As risk environment softens, interest rates  will decline
CBA improves its 2023 forecast for Armenia`s GDP growth from previous  6.9% to updated 7.2%CBA improves its 2023 forecast for Armenia`s GDP growth from previous  6.9% to updated 7.2%
Central Bank of Armenia reduces refinancing rate this time more  noticeably - from 10.25% to 9.75%Central Bank of Armenia reduces refinancing rate this time more  noticeably - from 10.25% to 9.75%
Armenia, Iran to intensify cooperation in tax and customs areas - SRCArmenia, Iran to intensify cooperation in tax and customs areas - SRC
Expert: Armenia`s status as electricity exporting country may  decrease significantlyExpert: Armenia`s status as electricity exporting country may  decrease significantly
Deflation in Armenia is very insignificant due to moderate decrease  in food prices and increase in service prices Deflation in Armenia is very insignificant due to moderate decrease  in food prices and increase in service prices 
Your business - our solutions: SoftPOS application from IDBank - your sales toolYour business - our solutions: SoftPOS application from IDBank - your sales tool
Vahan Kerobyan: The first 3 tourism clusters in Armenia will be  established in Areni, Gyumri and DilijanVahan Kerobyan: The first 3 tourism clusters in Armenia will be  established in Areni, Gyumri and Dilijan
IDBank completes placement of next tranche of $5 million bonds ahead  of scheduleIDBank completes placement of next tranche of $5 million bonds ahead  of schedule
Economist Konstantin Tserazov: “Dividend stories will remain in focus”Economist Konstantin Tserazov: “Dividend stories will remain in focus”
In Armenia, private companies and organizations to be involved in  workforce training and further hiringIn Armenia, private companies and organizations to be involved in  workforce training and further hiring
Armenian-Emirati Business Forum to be held in Yerevan in coming days  - MFAArmenian-Emirati Business Forum to be held in Yerevan in coming days  - MFA
Vahan Kerobyan on situation with Wildberries: We are studying  situation to understand whether there are violations that impinge on  competitionVahan Kerobyan on situation with Wildberries: We are studying  situation to understand whether there are violations that impinge on  competition
Armenia`s national debt rising Armenia`s national debt rising 
Armenia`s minister of economy hosts WB delegation Armenia`s minister of economy hosts WB delegation 
Asphalt laying on Tranche-3 road section of North-South transport  corridor to be completed by end of 2023Asphalt laying on Tranche-3 road section of North-South transport  corridor to be completed by end of 2023
Economy Ministry sees need to extend state subsidies for  Novorossiysk-Batumi-Novorossiysk ferry serviceEconomy Ministry sees need to extend state subsidies for  Novorossiysk-Batumi-Novorossiysk ferry service
Amid high growth, prudent fiscal stance would help avoid overheating  of economy, prevent inflationary pressures - Jihad AzourAmid high growth, prudent fiscal stance would help avoid overheating  of economy, prevent inflationary pressures - Jihad Azour
Idram is for all: commercial director Grigori YolyanIdram is for all: commercial director Grigori Yolyan
EBRD and EU sign first loan under EFSD+ Financial Inclusion Programme  with Acba bank EBRD and EU sign first loan under EFSD+ Financial Inclusion Programme  with Acba bank 
AMD 3,500,572 to the “SOS Children’s Villages” Armenian Charity Foundation AMD 3,500,572 to the “SOS Children’s Villages” Armenian Charity Foundation 
EBRD Annual Meeting to be held in Yerevan next yearEBRD Annual Meeting to be held in Yerevan next year
Growth of economic activity in Armenia is still double-digit, but  already with deceleration tendenciesGrowth of economic activity in Armenia is still double-digit, but  already with deceleration tendencies
Nicholas Schermers: There are serious prerequisites for expanding  Armenian-Dutch cooperation in high- techNicholas Schermers: There are serious prerequisites for expanding  Armenian-Dutch cooperation in high- tech
FLYONE ARMENIA airline congratulates its 1,000,000th passenger FLYONE ARMENIA airline congratulates its 1,000,000th passenger 
Tesvan QA Outsourcing Service Provider center opened in SevanTesvan QA Outsourcing Service Provider center opened in Sevan
In Armenia`s insurance marke, CMPTL loss ratio has been at level of  64% for year alreadyIn Armenia`s insurance marke, CMPTL loss ratio has been at level of  64% for year already
EBRD First Vice-President begins his visit to South Caucasus from ArmeniaEBRD First Vice-President begins his visit to South Caucasus from Armenia
By August 2023, Armenia`s international reserves reached new highs,  $4.126 billionBy August 2023, Armenia`s international reserves reached new highs,  $4.126 billion
Armenia records high macroeconomic indicators despite difficult  period - IMFArmenia records high macroeconomic indicators despite difficult  period - IMF
First in Armenia: Ameriabank`s Mortgage Portfolio Goes Past AMD 200BFirst in Armenia: Ameriabank`s Mortgage Portfolio Goes Past AMD 200B
Armenia, Egypt discuss opportunities to expand mutual tradeArmenia, Egypt discuss opportunities to expand mutual trade
EU to provide Armenia EUR 32 million to improve quality of education  in STEM subjectsEU to provide Armenia EUR 32 million to improve quality of education  in STEM subjects
S&P Upgrades Ameriabank to BB-, Outlook StableS&P Upgrades Ameriabank to BB-, Outlook Stable
Czech Airlines to resume flights on the route Prague-Yerevan- PragueCzech Airlines to resume flights on the route Prague-Yerevan- Prague
Freedom Broker Introduces Full Brokerage Services for Individuals, Pioneering the Market in ArmeniaFreedom Broker Introduces Full Brokerage Services for Individuals, Pioneering the Market in Armenia
EDB upgrades its forecast for Armenia`s economic growth to 7.5%EDB upgrades its forecast for Armenia`s economic growth to 7.5%
Fuel cards are in plusFuel cards are in plus
Exports of copper ore and zinc concentrate from Armenia declining,  molybdenum concentrate stagnating, and ores containing precious  metals increase significantlyExports of copper ore and zinc concentrate from Armenia declining,  molybdenum concentrate stagnating, and ores containing precious  metals increase significantly
S&P upgrades Armenia`s sovereign rating to `BB-` with `Stable`  outlook, expecting 7.5% GDP growth in 2023S&P upgrades Armenia`s sovereign rating to `BB-` with `Stable`  outlook, expecting 7.5% GDP growth in 2023
Read more


Exchange rates
22.09.2023
RUB4.030.03
USD387.240.89
EUR411.87-1.60
GBP474.21-3.36
CAD287.870.19
JPY26.12-0.01
CNY53.990.13
CHF426.99-3.82