Monday, October 27 2025 13:47
Karina Melikyan

Slowdown in industrial sector  leading to deceleration in  industrial  price index growth

Slowdown in industrial sector  leading to deceleration in  industrial  price index growth

ArmInfo.  In Armenia, the industrial price index in January- September 2025 was 103.1%  (compared to 102.9% in the same period of 2024). This slight change  was seen amidst a decline in the annual dynamics of the industrial  sector, shifting from 12.6% growth to 5.7% decline, with a volume of  2.1 trillion drams ($5.3 billion),  according to preliminary data  from the RA Statistics Committee. In September 2025, compared to  September 2024, the industrial price index saw a more significant  increase rising from 102.9% to 105.9%./ This increase was observed  alongside accelerated industrial sector growth from 4.6% to 10.1%.

Notably, inflation was recorded in the Armenian consumer market  during these periods. Specifically, in January-September 2025,  inflation was 3.3% compared to the same period in 2024. In September  2025 inflation was 3.7% compared to September 2024, while in these  same periods a year earlier, there was  a flat (0%) and an inflation  rate of 0.6%, respectively, Moreover, inflation in the consumer  market was mainly driven by an increase in food prices: in  January-September 2025 compared to the same period in 2024 - by 5.2%,  and in September 2025 compared to September 2024 - by 5.9%, whereas a  year earlier during these periods food prices became cheaper - in  January-September 2024 by 2.1% per annum and in September 2024 - by  0.5% per annum. Additionally, the cost of services continued to rise:  by 3% - in January-September 2025 compared to the same period in 2024  and by 2.8% in September 2025 compared to September 2024, against  similar growth rates a year ago - 3% and 3.6%, respectively. 

It is worth noting that this is accompanied by a slowdown in economic  activity growth in Armenia in January-September 2025 from 8.7% to  7.6% per annum, and an acceleration in growth from 7% to 10.5% in  September 2025 to September 2024. Additionally, there has been a  deterioration in the annual dynamics of foreign trade turnover  in  January-September 2025, with a 39.3% decline compared to a 73.5%  growth in the same period of 2024. As a result of a decline in both  exports - by 46.8%, and imports - by 33.4% (compared to a significant  growth of  exports and imports a year ago by 2.1 times and 54.2%,  respectively).  Moreover, in September 2025, compared to September  2024, the volume of foreign trade fell by 21.6% due to  reductions in  both exports by 24.4% and imports by 19.5%. A year earlier in  September 2024, compared to September 2023, foreign trade turnover  showed growth of 22.4%, largely due to an increase in exports by  38.9%, rather than imports by 11.9%. (The average exchange rate of  the dram in January-September 2025 was AMD 388.66/$1).