Thursday, November 27 2025 16:43
Alexandr Avanesov

Luys Foundation: Excluding main effects of re-exports, it can be  concluded that issues continue to persist in Armenia`s export sector

Luys Foundation: Excluding main effects of re-exports, it can be  concluded that issues continue to persist in Armenia`s export sector

ArmInfo.  Economic growth in Armenia has accelerated in recent months, primarily due to the recovery of the industry, as  reported by the Luys Foundation,  whose experts analyzed the socioeconomic development of the Armenian  economy from January to  October 2025.

According to the Foundation's report, Armenia's GDP growth rate in  October of this year was 10.1%, while the cumulative figure for  January-October was 8.1%, representing an increase of 0.4 percentage  points compared to the previous month. This acceleration in growth is  primarily due to the recovery of the industrial sector, the structure  of which, however, remains unstable. Specifically, the growth rates  of industrial subsectors have fluctuated significantly in recent  months. For example, food production grew by 20.4% in September,  while the same subsector recorded a decline of 4.8% in August.  Tobacco production growth also accelerated significantly, reaching  32.4% in September from 17.1% in August. Meanwhile, non-ferrous metal  production growth slowed significantly, from 77.1% to 17.0%. This  unstable growth structure in the manufacturing industry indicates the  presence of  short-term factors and their significant impact. Under  these conditions, high growth rates cannot be sustained for long.

Furthermore, the report states that the improvement in the rate of  export decline is proceeding rather slowly. Exports declined by 44.7%  in January-October of this year, only down 2.0 percentage points  compared to January-September. This slow pace of improvement is  concerning, especially considering the fact that export growth  remains low. Excluding the main effects of re-exports from the  calculations, it can be concluded that deep-rooted issues continue to  persist in the export sector of the economy.