ArmInfo. The Russian currency will weaken by approximately 6% this year, and the average annual dollar exchange rate will be 88.5 rubles per dollar in 2026, according to a Vedomosti consensus forecast.
Twenty economists participated in the survey. Experts' expectations for the average exchange rate this year range from 80 rubles per dollar to 95.5 rubles per dollar. The weakening of the Russian currency could be influenced by oil prices, stronger imports if sanctions are eased, and a reduction in foreign currency sales by the Central Bank, they believe.
The average dollar exchange rate for 2025 was 83.3 rubles per dollar, according to Vedomosti calculations based on Central Bank data. The dollar exchange rate has fallen by 23.5% since the beginning of 2025, reaching 78.23 rubles per dollar on January 12, 2026 (the official Central Bank exchange rate). On January 10, 2025, it was 102.3 rubles per dollar. The overall trend in dynamics last year was downward. (Vedomosti)
