The global economy will grow by 2.7% in 2026

ArmInfo. The global economy will grow by 2.7% in 2026, following 2.8% in 2025, according to a forecast from experts at the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD). Growth will be constrained by further fragmentation of the global economy, increasing protectionism within countries, and weak investment activity resulting from growing global uncertainty.

UNCTAD analysts predict global GDP growth in 2026 will be lower than in 2025, reaching 2.7% after 2.8%. This figure will again be below the average of the pre-pandemic decade of the 2010s (3.2%).

The rate of expansion of global trade will also slow significantly this year: to 2.2% from 3.8%. Last year's surge in product deliveries (which arose in anticipation of the introduction of trade restrictions) has exhausted itself, and now a decline in global export and import volumes is virtually inevitable. Tariff increases will continue to push countries to restructure their supply chains.