Thursday, March 5 2026 16:10
Naira Badalian

Starting in 2028, Armenia will index pensions based on inflation. Can  the budget handle it ?

Starting in 2028, Armenia will index pensions based on inflation. Can  the budget handle it ?

ArmInfo.Starting in 2028, the Armenian government will move toward a system of inflation-indexed  pensions, as announced by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan at a government meeting on March 5, where  a resolution to increase pensions and benefits effective April 2016was adopted.

As Deputy Prime Minister Tigran Khachatryan noted, the issue of  correlating the minimum food basket with the minimum pension was  resolved long ago. According to him, the cost of the minimum food  basket is 34,500 drams, and the minimum pension, following the last  increase, was already 36,000 drams. Even accounting for inflation and  excluding the April First's increase, the Armenian government has  already fulfilled its programmatic promise to increase pensions. The  same is true to the correlation between the average pension and the  minimum food basket. (Meanwhile, by the third quarter of 2025, the  cost of the minimum consumer basket per person according to the World  Bank methodology was 37,200 rubles, and according to the Armenian  Ministry of Health methodology, 78,836 rubles - ed.).  Pashinyan  noted that it is necessary to ensure that pensions consistently meet  minimum living standards, and to do this, they need to be indexed  regularly.

Also, the Prime Minister stated that the indexation will be delayed  so as not to disrupt the budget process.  And, since the system is  scheduled to begin operating in 2028, indexation will need to be  planned for the 2028 budget as early as the end of 2027. Regarding  whether the state budget will be able to handle the increase in  pensions and benefits, Tigran Khachatryan noted that the Armenian  government, having weighed all the risks, has concluded that they are  manageable. This will require an additional 78.7 billion drams ($205  million), which will be allocated quarterly, and additional taxes  generated by strong economic growth will follow.

"That is, at least half of this amount will be provided through  additional tax revenues, and the rest will be covered by the reserve  fund and the reallocation of budget funds. So, I want to assure you  that everything is manageable," he stated.

In turn, Finance Minister Vahe Hovhannisyan pointed out that they  expect to collect 40 billion drams in taxes this year above the state  budget target. "We also have reserve funds that are being formed to  address various issues," he said. And this is despite the fact that  the department headed by Hovhannisyan, in its conclusion on the  project to increase pensions and benefits, has described this  initiative as quite risky.