Wednesday, June 3 2026 16:56
Karina Melikyan

Rising food and service prices keep Armenian inflation above target  range

Rising food and service prices keep Armenian inflation above target  range

ArmInfo. The annual inflation rate in Armenia eased slightly to 4.2% in May 2026, down from 4.3% during the same period last year, according to data released by the Statistical Committee of the Republic of Armenia. This modest deceleration was driven by slower year-on- year price growth in food  (6.5% vs. 7.2% last year) and services (2.7% vs. 3.1% last year).  Conversely, non-food prices rose by 2.1%, reversing a 0.1% decline  recorded the previous year.

Within the food sector, the most significant year-on-year price  spikes were recorded for eggs (+30.8%), beef (+22.8%), cocoa  (+20.5%), and lamb (+17.5%). Notable increases were also observed in  sunflower oil (+11.5%), pork (+11.2%), spelt/dzavar (+9.7%), sour  cream (+9.4%), buckwheat (+8.9%), pasta (+8.8%), pasteurized milk  (+8.2%), cheese (+7.9%), chocolate (+7.8%), cottage cheese (+6.9%),  coffee (+6.4%), butter (+5.9%), and poultry (+4.7%). Flour and bread  saw more moderate increases of 2.2% to 3.2%, while peas rose by 2.4%,  trout by 0.3%, and granulated sugar by 0.2%. On the other hand,  prices for staples like rice, lentils, and beans fell slightly by  3.7%, 1.9%, and 1.1%, respectively.

Alcoholic beverages rose faster than last year, led by vodka (+10.2%  vs. 5.5% last year), beer (+4.9% vs.  1.1%), and wine (+2.2% vs.  1.5%). Cigarette prices also accelerated to 7.4% from 6.7%. Among  services, comprehensive vacation packages jumped 19.6% and motor  vehicle liability insurance climbed 11.9%.  Hotel rates rose by 8.9%,  transportation costs grew by 7.1%, and medical services increased by  5.3% to 7.4%. Meanwhile, doctor consultations (+6.4%), postal  services (+2.8%), and dental services (+2.6%) saw more modest growth.  Price growth for financial services and hairdressing/spa treatments  slowed significantly to 1.8% and 2.2%, respectively.

In the non-food segment, jewelry prices surged by 40.3% year-on-year,  compared to a 19.8% increase last year. Fuel prices also rebounded  sharply: gasoline rose by 8.9% and diesel fuel by 17.1% (reversing  declines of 6.8% and 8.5% a year ago), while liquid hydrocarbons  (butane, propane, etc.) skyrocketed by 97%.

For the first five months of the year (January–May 2026), consumer  price inflation averaged 4.5%, up from 3.0% in the same period of  2025. This five-month inflationary trend was driven by a 7.3%  increase in food prices, a 2.7% increase in services, and a 1.2%  increase in non-food items. This was also the case a year ago, when  food and services prices increased by 5% and 2.8%, respectively,  while non-food prices fell by 0.8%. 

May's 4.2% annual inflation coincided with a 4.7% appreciation of the  Armenian dram (AMD) against the US dollar. Specifically, the exchange  rate strengthened to an average of 368.50 AMD/$1 in May 2026,  compared to 386.60 AMD/$1 in May 2025.  Note, starting in 2025, the   inflation target is set at 3% with an acceptable range of +/- 1  percentage point (versus the previous 4%, +/- 1.5 percentage points).