Thursday, July 16 2026 18:49
Karina Melikyan

Bucking the trend: Declining CMTPL loss ratio in Armenia accompanied  by rising policy costs

Bucking the trend: Declining CMTPL loss ratio in Armenia accompanied  by rising policy costs

ArmInfo. The loss ratio for Compulsory Motor Third-Party Liability (CMTPL) insurance in the Armenian insurance market fell to 72.1% in the first half of 2026, down from 73.3% during the same period in 2025.

This decline in the H1 2026 loss ratio occurred alongside accelerated annual growth in active contracts (rising from 7.6% to 9.2%), insurance premiums (increasing from 16.8% to 19.1%), and a more pronounced surge in claims payouts (jumping from 6.1% to 18.3%). Notably, the downward  trend in the loss ratio began in May of this year following four consecutive months of growth, whereas the indicator steadily declined  throughout 2025 from 81.8% to 76.3%. These figures are supported by data from the Armenian Motor Insurers' Bureau.

According to industry experts, CMTPL premiums continue to rise  despite the declining loss ratio, allowing insurance companies to  offset inflationary risks driven by broader inflation and the rising  cost of auto spare parts. Furthermore, a trend has emerged where  insurers charge higher premiums even to lower-risk drivers to smooth  out their overall loss statistics. Consequently,  consumers particularly accident-free drivers are questioning the  efficacy of the bonus-malus system, with many under the impression  that the mechanism is either entirely ineffective or applied without  its intended "bonus" incentives.

According to the Bureau, the number of vehicles with CMTPLI policies  is growing moderately year-on- year   by 6.7% (compared to 3.5% the  year before). In quantitative terms, as of June 2026, there were  727,958 vehicles with compulsory motor third-party liability  insurance (CMTPLI) policies in the country, with the number of active  policies amounting to 722,318 (excluding terminated policies    660,914). The share of E-policies in the total number of CMTPLI  policies increased year-on-year from 36% to 38%, reaching 270,401 by  July of this year (growth slowed from 22.1% to 14.5%).

In the first half of 2026, the volume of insurance premiums collected  under existing policies reached 19.1 billion drams ($51.9 million),  while the volume of insurance claims exceeded 12.8 billion drams  ($34.9 million). Moreover, the volume of compensation paid out under  simplified accident reporting (Europrotocol) worsened year-on-year,  reversing from 64.2% growth to a 2.1% decline, amounting to 1.8  billion drams ($4.9 million). The average payment size also worsened  year-on-year, from 33.2% growth to a 9.5% decline, amounting to  111,164 thousand drams ($302, compared to $320 a year ago).  Meanwhile, for total insurance compensation, the average payment size  maintained growth, but with an annual growth rate slowing from 5.3%  to 4.6%, amounting to 281,268 thousand drams ($765, compared to $700  a year ago).

According to the Bureau's data, REGO Insurance covers the largest  number of CMTPL-insured vehicles, with 139,147 units (representing  over 19% of the market share). Notably, this insurer's CMTPL loss  ratio increased year-over-year from 68% to 74%. The highest CMTPL  loss ratio was recorded by INGO at 79% (up from 72% a year ago),  while the lowest was registered by Nairi Insurance at 60% (down from  63% a year ago).

Nairi Insurance and REGO Insurance generate the highest volume of  premium written under active CMTPL contracts, exceeding AMD 3.6  billion and AMD 3.35 billion respectively (accounting for 19% and 18%  of the total market volume). However, INGO and Nairi Insurance  continue to lead in claims payouts within this class, with volumes of  AMD 2.5 billion and AMD 2.2 billion respectively (representing 19%  and 17% of the total market). INGO and LIGA Insurance stand out for  having the highest payouts under simplified accident reporting (the  "Europrotocol"), amounting to AMD 444.7 million and AMD 367.2 million  respectively (representing 25% and 20% of the total market).

INGO also continues to record the leading number of e-policies at  95,796 (representing over 35% of all such contracts in the market),  followed by LIGA Insurance in second place with 50,889 policies  (19%), and Armenia Insurance in third place with 45,367 policies  (17%). Conversely, Nairi Insurance maintains the lowest number of  e-policies at 13,568 (accounting for just 5% of the total market  share for e-policies).

In terms of the total number of active contracts, the top two  positions are held by REGO Insurance and Nairi Insurance, with  157,065 and 130,358 active contracts respectively (representing 22%  and 18% of the market total). However, it is worth noting that Nairi  Insurance, despite leading in premium collection, also shows a high  volume of terminated contracts totaling 11,038 (with AMD 159.4  million payable or already paid out). This is only slightly behind  INGO, which recorded 12,951 terminated contracts (with AMD 170.9  million payable or already paid). The lowest number of terminated  contracts was recorded by Armenia Insurance and LIGA Insurance, with  6,932 and 9,296 contracts respectively.

It should be noted that in April 2023, the Armenian insurance market  began to liberalize MTPL tariffs, and within a quarter, the loss  ratio for this class began to increase. This trend continued until  2025, at the beginning of which, in February, a significant increase  in MTPL tariffs allowed insurance companies to significantly improve  their efficiency, and the loss ratio began to decline. However, in  2026, specifically in February, the loss ratio resumed its upward  trend, continuing until May, after which a decline was observed.

The Armenian Bureau of Motor Insurers, as part of amendments to the  MTPL General Conditions, introduced increased insured amounts and  maximum compensation limits effective April 1, 2026. In particular,  the insured amounts and maximum compensation limits have been  increased as follows: For property damage, the amount has been  increased from the current 1.8 million drams to 2.5 million drams;  For damage to health, the amount has been increased from the current  3.3 million drams to 3.5 million drams; At the same time, the insured  amounts for the total amount of damage caused to all victims as a  result of a single insured event have been proportionally increased  and set at 25 million and 35 million drams, respectively.

Recall, there are seven insurance companies operating in Armenia, six  of which are licensed to provide Compulsory Motor Third-Party  Liability (CMTPL) insurance. (As of June 30, 2026, the calculated  exchange rate of the Armenian Dram against the US Dollar stood at AMD  367.89/$1, compared to AMD 384.47/$1 as of June 30, 2025).