Friday, January 8 2021 13:31
Alina Hovhannisyan

Economy Ministry has aggressive plans: Double-digit GDP growth by the  end of the year

Economy Ministry has aggressive plans: Double-digit GDP growth by the  end of the year

ArmInfo. "I will not forgive myself if this year we do not provide double-digit indicators for economic growth," Minister of Economy Vahan Kerobyan said in an  interview with the Public Television of Armenia.

He stressed that, despite the restrained forecasts of the Ministry of  Finance (economic growth by 4.8% - ed.  note), the Ministry of  Economy has more ambitious, aggressive plans, which it intends to  implement this year.

Kerobyan explained that after two months, a new economic program will  be developed, which will meet both internal and global challenges.  "Our policy will be aimed at transforming the economy into a  knowledge-based one. I know all the gaps and barriers that the  business segment in Armenia faces. And we must work on brands,  marketing, creation of products aimed at global peace, "the minister  said.  He noted that over the past 11 years, a so-called  export-oriented policy has been operating in Armenia, however, de  facto, everything that was carried out during this time was rather  against exporters than in support of them.

In this vein, the head of the economic department said that today the  ministry is drafting a large-scale business assistance program. Going  into details, Kerobyan said that he means a debt instrument that will  allow business to operate without obstacles in 2021. "It remains for  us to convince our colleagues from the Ministry of Finance and the  Central Bank," he added.

At the same time, the minister reported on some disagreements with  the Ministry of Finance related to the provision of tax incentives to  businesses. "The Ministry of Finance is trying to maximize taxes,  which will make life difficult for small businesses. And we know a  method of how to simplify the life of a business, while increasing  the level of income to the state budget. This will be a more  efficient way than raising taxes. Because such tightening leads to a  shadow economy, "the minister said.  To recall, the Central Bank  further worsened the forecast for the decline in Armenia's GDP in  2020 - to 7.2% from the previous 6.2%. According to the World Bank's  forecast for 2020 updated in October this year, Armenia's GDP is  expected to decline by 6.3%, against the previously expected 2.8% and  actual 7.6% growth in 2019. In 2021, the WB expects Armenia's GDP to  grow by 4.6%. In its November forecast, the IMF expects Armenia's GDP  to fall by more than 7% in 2020, with modest growth in 2021.   According to the Statistical Committee of the Republic of Armenia,  the decline in economic activity in January-November 2020 has already  deepened to 7.2% per annum, and in November alone the decline was  10.2%, and almost the same decline was recorded in comparison with  November 2019 - 10.3%