ArmInfo. A day earlier, the Central Bank of Armenia improved its forecast for the country's economic growth from 4.6% to 5.4%. However, according to the Minister of Economy of Armenia Vahan Kerobyan, such an assessment of the Regulator is rather pessimistic. He stated this during a briefing on September 16.
In this regard, the Minister recalled the April forecast of the IMF with the expected growth of the Armenian economy by 1%, which was increased to 6.5%. "Of course, we can understand our partners, there were many uncertainties, including taking into account the military situation, the internal political one.
Therefore, as a rule, they choose the most pessimistic forecast. Let's see what indicator we get, it depends on many factors. But I remain with my opinion - from the point of view of the nominal value, the GDP will demonstrate growth in the range of 15-20%>, the minister noted.
Having drawn attention to the rather large deflator, which, according to him, will affect the decline, nevertheless, he assured: "I think we will be close to double-digit indicators for real GDP growth."
It should be reminded that the Central Bank of Armenia raised the forecast of economic growth in Armenia for 2021 to 5.4% from the previously expected 4.6%. According to the forecast of the World Bank (WB), updated in June, GDP growth in Armenia in 2021 will be 3.4%. In its May report, the IMF expected GDP growth by 1% in Armenia for 2021, but today it improved its forecast to 6.5% .
