Thursday, May 5 2022 19:03
Karina Melikyan

Service sector and energy complex were major drivers of economic  activity growth in Q1 2022 

Service sector and energy complex were major drivers of economic  activity growth in Q1 2022 

ArmInfo.In Armenia, economic activity in Q1 2022 increased by 9.6% compared to the same period in 2021 (against a 2% decline in Q1 2020), exceeding even the pre-Covid  6.5% growth in Q1 2019. According to the final data of the RA  Statistical Committee, the agricultural sector lingered in the  decline, while other sectors showed growth, and the service sector  and the energy complex were the main drivers of economic growth.

Thus, the service sector showed an increase of 22.2%, the energy  complex - by 16.7%, the trade sector - by 7.6%, the construction  sector - by 6.2%, the industrial sector - by 3.1%. And the  agricultural sector lingered in the decline with an acceleration of  rates up to 5.4%. As a comparison, we note that a year earlier in the  first quarter, the construction sector grew by 4.7%, and the energy  complex - by 1.4%, while  the following sectors were in decline  industrial sector - by 3.9%, the agricultural sector - by 1 %, trade  - by 5.6% and services - by 8.1%.

Meanwhile, in March 2022, compared to February (on a monthly terms),  economic activity increased by 8.4% (against 9.6% growth in March  2021). Moreover, upward dynamics was recorded in almost all areas,  except for the industrial sector and the energy complex, which  reduced volumes by 1.3-0.9%. In particular, the construction sector  showed significant growth - by 25%, followed by the service sector  and trade with an increase of 16% and 10.8%, respectively. A year  earlier, in March 2021, compared to February, an upward trend was  recorded in all areas, and the most significant growth was shown by  the construction sector and the energy complex - 23.5% and 16%,  respectively, followed by trade and the service sector with the same  9.5% growth of each, and the industrial sector with 9.1% growth.

In y-o-y terms (March 2022 to March 2021), economic activity  accelerated growth from 3.8% to 6.7%.  Among industries, only the  industrial sector was in decline by 6.9%, while the rest sectors  showed growth:  the service sector - by 25.9%, the construction  sector - by 8.2%, the energy complex - by 6.8%, the trade sector - by  6.6%. A year earlier, in March 2021 by March 2020, all industries  were distinguished by a trend reversal from a downward to an upward  trend: the energy complex - by 18.3%, the construction sector - by  10.8%, the industrial sector - by 3.8%, the trade sector- by 4.6%,  and the service sector - by 0.9%.

According to the statistics for Q1 2022, the trade sector was the  leader in absolute terms with a volume of 781.1 billion drams ($1.6  billion).  The industrial sector was in second place in terms of  volume - 550.7 billion ($1.1 billion), the third - the service sector  - 503.2 billion drams ($1.03 billion), the fourth - the agricultural  sector - 79.1 billion drams ($162.6 million), and the fifth - the  construction sector - 55.96 billion drams ($115 million). The volume  of electricity generation in January-March 2022 amounted to 2465.3  million kWh, of which - 786.4 million kWh in March alone.

The price index of industrial products  in January-March 2022  compared to the same period last year increased by 11.3%,  increasing  by 2% in March alone and compared to March 2021 it increased by  12.5%.  A year earlier, the dynamics was also positive, but were more  modest: in January-March 2021 - an increase of 7.1% per annum, in  March - an increase of 1.8%, compared to March 2020 - an increase of   9.3%.  At the same time, Armenia's foreign trade turnover in  January-March 2022 amounted to 1.02 trillion drams ($2.1 billion)  with  a y-o-y growth of 38.5%. In its structure, the volume of  exports increased by 26.9% per annum to 355.3 billion drams ($731.8  million), while the volume of imports climbed by 45.6% to 664.3  billion drams ($1.4 billion). In March 2022 alone, foreign trade  turnover decreased by 10.6% due to a decline in exports by 12.2% and  imports by 9.8%. In March 2022 by March 2021, the growth of imports  by 22.5% and exports by 4% increased foreign trade turnover by 15.6%. 

A year earlier, in January-March 2021, foreign trade turnover was in  decline by 4.4% due to a decline in imports by 7.7% with an increase  in exports by 3.4%, in March 2021, an increase in exports by 11.6%  and imports by 13 .5% increased foreign trade turnover by 12.8%, and  compared to March 2020, the growth of foreign trade turnover by 10.7%  was provoked by a significant increase in exports by 21.8% and a  modest 5% increase in imports.  

The average settlement rate of the dram in March 2022 was 496.96  AMD/$1, and in January-March - 486.40 AMD/$1, against 527.67 AMD/$1  in March 2021 and 524.14 AMD/$1 in January-March 2021. 

It should be noted that the Central Bank of Armenia forecasts a  slowdown in GDP growth to 1.6% for 2022, expecting a decline in  exports and imports by 1.8-0.1% and inflation of 6.6%. The World Bank  projects a slowdown in Armenia's GDP growth to 1.2% for 2022,  expecting a decline in exports by 8.5% and imports by 12%. The  International Monetary Fund expects a slowdown in Armenia's GDP  growth to 1.5% in 2022. According to actual statistics, Armenia's  GDP, after a 7.4% decline in 2020, went up by 5.7% in 2021.

POST A COMMENT
Input digits     


News
No sentimentality: Armenia s country risk premium went down after  Washington agreementsNo sentimentality: Armenia s country risk premium went down after  Washington agreements
Central Bank of Armenia: High uncertainty in external demand remains  due to  deterioration risks  in global economic growth prospects and  current trends in tourist flows and remittances to ArmeniaCentral Bank of Armenia: High uncertainty in external demand remains  due to  deterioration risks  in global economic growth prospects and  current trends in tourist flows and remittances to Armenia
Central Bank of Armenia improved its GDP growth forecast for 2025 to  5.8-5.7%, still expecting strong decline in exports and importsCentral Bank of Armenia improved its GDP growth forecast for 2025 to  5.8-5.7%, still expecting strong decline in exports and imports
1.5 million tourists visited Armenia in January-August1.5 million tourists visited Armenia in January-August
Financial Education Program for Artsakh Schoolchildren Summarizes Results: IDBankFinancial Education Program for Artsakh Schoolchildren Summarizes Results: IDBank
Stable sideways trend instead of  decline: CB governor on real estate  pricesStable sideways trend instead of  decline: CB governor on real estate  prices
Armenia`s Central Bank governor does not believe that the downgrade  of the ENA rating could affect Armenia`s financial system stabilityArmenia`s Central Bank governor does not believe that the downgrade of the ENA rating could affect Armenia`s financial system stability
"Armenian Banking Days" were held in the capital of Austria
Armenia Central Bank:  Refinancing rate unchanged at 6.75%Armenia Central Bank:  Refinancing rate unchanged at 6.75%
EDB forecasts stabilization of Armenia`s economy EDB forecasts stabilization of Armenia`s economy 
RA Central Bank announces issue of commemorative coin on Henrik  Malyan`s 100th birthday anniversaryRA Central Bank announces issue of commemorative coin on Henrik  Malyan`s 100th birthday anniversary
AraratBank Co-Funds AraratBank Co-Funds "Culture - My Way" Project Financed by UNESCO
Subvention programs are the driving force of Kapan`s development Subvention programs are the driving force of Kapan`s development 
ACBA Bank develops open and trusting relationships with shareholdersACBA Bank develops open and trusting relationships with shareholders
Moody`s Ratings Downgrades Electric Networks of Armenia as a Result of Forced NationalizationMoody`s Ratings Downgrades Electric Networks of Armenia as a Result of Forced Nationalization
Russian gas supply to Armenia to be suspended for 10 daysRussian gas supply to Armenia to be suspended for 10 days
Mantashyants Entrepreneurs Club proposing draft law against tax  racketeeringMantashyants Entrepreneurs Club proposing draft law against tax  racketeering
Armenia preparing `rebranding` of national debtArmenia preparing `rebranding` of national debt
Armenia, US discussing cyber lab establishmentArmenia, US discussing cyber lab establishment
Brendan Hanrahan: Armenia, United States have significant potential  for bilateral cooperation in technological sphereBrendan Hanrahan: Armenia, United States have significant potential  for bilateral cooperation in technological sphere
From September 8-12, 2025, ruble transactions prevalent in Armenia`s  interbank  foreign exchange market instead of dollar transactionsFrom September 8-12, 2025, ruble transactions prevalent in Armenia`s  interbank  foreign exchange market instead of dollar transactions
Armenia proposes US to start developing  roadmap for TRIPP projectArmenia proposes US to start developing  roadmap for TRIPP project
In  Armenia`s insurance market,  loss ratio for OSAGO decreased to  74% by September 2025In  Armenia`s insurance market,  loss ratio for OSAGO decreased to  74% by September 2025
5,092,062 AMD to the Bridge of Hope NGO. The beneficiary for September is the Moonq Technoschool5,092,062 AMD to the Bridge of Hope NGO. The beneficiary for September is the Moonq Technoschool
 LEADER pilot program for rural development to cover three more  regions of Armenia LEADER pilot program for rural development to cover three more  regions of Armenia
High-Tech Ministry  discusses steps to turn Armenia into  regional  Web3 centerHigh-Tech Ministry  discusses steps to turn Armenia into  regional  Web3 center
SRC Head: Armenian Customs Service to operate on  SRC Head: Armenian Customs Service to operate on  "Trump Route"
Yerevan hosting international AI conference Yerevan hosting international AI conference 
Yerevan to host annual banking forum Yerevan to host annual banking forum 
Exchange of information on financial reports to apply only to  nonresidents Exchange of information on financial reports to apply only to  nonresidents 
Armenia`s defense budget 25% of national budget - president Armenia`s defense budget 25% of national budget - president 
Trump Road actually at practical stage - minister Trump Road actually at practical stage - minister 
More pluses than minuses - minister of reopening of Armenian-Turkish  border More pluses than minuses - minister of reopening of Armenian-Turkish  border 
Armenia`s finance minister call for `not terrorizing population by  national debt` Armenia`s finance minister call for `not terrorizing population by  national debt` 
Financing of participatory budgeting programs to be doubled in  Armenia in 2026Financing of participatory budgeting programs to be doubled in  Armenia in 2026
Pay your bill with Idram&IDBank, receive idcoinsPay your bill with Idram&IDBank, receive idcoins
 U.S. Department of State official announces allocation of $145mln to  Armenia for Trump route  U.S. Department of State official announces allocation of $145mln to  Armenia for Trump route 
Government agencies, organizations to return  property provided to  them free-of-charge by the end of 2027Government agencies, organizations to return  property provided to  them free-of-charge by the end of 2027
Only 15% of declarants in Armenia have filled out income  declarations. Deadline for filing- November 1Only 15% of declarants in Armenia have filled out income  declarations. Deadline for filing- November 1
The Regulator extends Gazprom Armenia CJSC license for natural gas  distribution The Regulator extends Gazprom Armenia CJSC license for natural gas  distribution 
Armenia, India discuss potential for direct flights between their  countriesArmenia, India discuss potential for direct flights between their  countries
Presentation of Mark Aren’s “The New Adventures of Sherlock Holmes” BookPresentation of Mark Aren’s “The New Adventures of Sherlock Holmes” Book
RA Ministry of High-Tech Industry hosts WB delegation RA Ministry of High-Tech Industry hosts WB delegation 
Mongolia`s concessions to Armenia to involve 98% of exports Mongolia`s concessions to Armenia to involve 98% of exports 
Energy cooperation with Iran discussed at RA Ministry of Territorial  Administration Energy cooperation with Iran discussed at RA Ministry of Territorial  Administration 
Armenia to allocate $7.5mln to subscribe for shares of the authorized  capital of Asian Infrastructure Investment BankArmenia to allocate $7.5mln to subscribe for shares of the authorized  capital of Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank
EIB to issue EUR 50mln loan to Armenia for socio-economic development  of Syunik EIB to issue EUR 50mln loan to Armenia for socio-economic development  of Syunik 
EIB puts forward initiative to specify some provisions of agreement  on financing of construction of Sisian- Kajaran section under  North-South program EIB puts forward initiative to specify some provisions of agreement  on financing of construction of Sisian- Kajaran section under  North-South program 
 Armenia, Iran discuss prospects of cooperation in oil and gas sector Armenia, Iran discuss prospects of cooperation in oil and gas sector
Deputy PM promises to consider  MP`s proposal to reduce sugar  consumption in ArmeniaDeputy PM promises to consider  MP`s proposal to reduce sugar  consumption in Armenia
20 million drams for Artsakh students, 10 million drams for a kindergarten for Artsakh children: IDBank20 million drams for Artsakh students, 10 million drams for a kindergarten for Artsakh children: IDBank
David Ananyan on Crossroads of Peace project David Ananyan on Crossroads of Peace project 
Inspection Authority: Another 11 organizations  get licenses to  export flowers to RussiaInspection Authority: Another 11 organizations  get licenses to  export flowers to Russia
Yerevan to host Discover Armenia festival Yerevan to host Discover Armenia festival 
Landslide blocks traffic on section of Mtskheta-Stepantsminda-Lars  roadLandslide blocks traffic on section of Mtskheta-Stepantsminda-Lars  road
New goods traceability rules to take effect in Armenia New goods traceability rules to take effect in Armenia 
The Power of One Dram Turns FiveThe Power of One Dram Turns Five
Martin Galstyan: Foreign partners reaction to  peace agreement  between Armenia, Azerbaijan in Washington is positiveMartin Galstyan: Foreign partners reaction to  peace agreement  between Armenia, Azerbaijan in Washington is positive
AraratBank and “4090 Charity” Foundation: 2309 Meters Above the EarthAraratBank and “4090 Charity” Foundation: 2309 Meters Above the Earth
Martin Galstyan:  Armenia`s economic growth is projected to be  4.9-5.3%  in 2025Martin Galstyan:  Armenia`s economic growth is projected to be  4.9-5.3%  in 2025
Read more
Exchange rates
16.09.2025
RUB4.630.01
USD383.120.00
EUR452.351.99
GBP522.040.73
CAD278.371.21
JPY26.050.06
CNY53.850.05
CHF484.292.26