Thursday, July 6 2023 18:26
Naira Badalian

Economist comments on Armenian PM`s overestimation of minimum pension increase

Economist comments on Armenian PM`s overestimation of minimum pension  increase

ArmInfo.Head of the Armenian  Cabinet of Ministers and the Ministry of Social Labor proudly declare  that after the July increase, the minimum pension of 36,000 drams  will amount to 99.5% of the minimum food basket, but this is by no  means the case.  Movses Aristakesyan, the Chairman of the "Center for  Economic Rights" NGO ", an international financial expert in public  finance management, wrote on his Facebook page.

Today at a meeting of the Cabinet of Ministers, Prime Minister Nikol  Pashinyan, referring to the increase in the minimum pension from 31.6  to 36 thousand drams, said that for the first time in Armenia, the  minimum pension approached the minimum food basket determined by the  Statistical Committee of Armenia according to the methodology of the  World Bank. At the same time, according to the Statistical Committee  for January-March 2023, the minimum food basket on a monthly terms  amounted to 43,627.2 drams, and the minimum consumer basket -  80,710.3 drams.

"No matter how the state statistics authorities try to create an  evidence base for the Prime Minister's campaign, nothing works.   According to the official data of the Statistical Committee, in Q2  2022, the cost of the minimum food basket amounted to 44,431.3 drams.   In the context of a noticeable continuous increase in consumer  prices, especially for food products, the cost of the minimum food  basket was artificially lowered and in Q3 2022 it was calculated at  the level of 41,329.3 drams, and in Q1 2023- 40,299.5 drams>,  Aristakesyan noted.

Moreover, according to the expert, an increase in the minimum pension  cannot have a positive impact on the average pension paid in terms of  matching the growth in consumer prices. Thus, during 2018-2022,  according to official statistics, consumer prices increased by 22.5%,   while the average pension paid increased by 14.8% alone, and  compared to 40,478 drams in 2018, it amounted to only 46,629 drams in  2022, which barely covers the cost of the minimum food basket of  44,431 drams.

In this case, according to the economist, the increase in the basic  pension by 3,000 drams from July 1 is also ineffective until the cost  of seniority, which has been unchanged for more than 15 years, is  increased by 500 drams, meanwhile, the consumer price index for that   the same period increased more than 1.5-fold.