Tuesday, January 10 2017 13:55
Svetlana Hovsepyan

AMD starts 2017 with devaluation

AMD starts 2017 with devaluation

ArmInfo. During the last   week of December 2017, transactions on the forex interbank market of  Armenia decreased for 33%, following 60,3% growth growth  a week  before. In the meantime, the purchase and sale of USD and EUR  demonstrated  negative  dynamics amid the subsiding interest in RUR  operations.  As a result, during the reported  week AMD its position  against USD at  484 AMD/$1, depreciating against EUR from 504 to 505  AMD/1EUR .Earlier, in Jan- Sept 2016, AMD appreciated against USD  from 482 to 474 AMD/USD1, depreciating against EUR from 529 to 532  AMD/1EUR, and against RUR from 6.9 to 7.5 AMD/1RUR. In October AMD  devaluated against USD to 476 AMD/USD1, revaluated against EUR to 521  AMD/1EUR, while the AMD/RUR exchange rate remained unchanged - 7.5  AMD/1RUR.  This tendency continued in November.

 In the first 10 days  of December the devaluation of AMD to USD  continued, within a simultaneous giving up to EUR and RUR, but in   the second decade AMD showed appreciation to EUR, keeping its  depreciation to RUR and keeping the rate in respect to USD, but in  the third decade AMD showed a tendency of slow devaluation to EUR,  keeping the positions to USD and RUR. In the first decade of 2017 a  sustainable devaluation of AMD was observed,  being at that more  sharp to  EUR than to USD and RUR. 

Since the beginning of last  year the foreign exchange market showed  signs of life rarely, making one at a time transaction between March  and May: USD100 thousand in March, USD2.950 mln in April and USD800  thousand in May, after which it was passive. In Jan-Oct 2016, the  Central Bank bought USD on the foreign exchange market in April  (USD2.4 mln), June (USD50.2 mln), August ($19.8 mln), and September  (USD28.8mln), October ( USD 50.8 mln at 475,47/1USD rate) and sold in  January and February (USD53.1 mln and USD 41.5mln, at AMD484,69 /$1  and  AMD 492,59/$1e respectively).  The press office of the Central  Bank of Armenia has told ArmInfo that during the period of  Dec  26-30, 2017,  the total amount of the transactions on the forex  interbank market during the current week formed $14.800 mln (versus  $22.073 mln a week before), and the average exchange rate was 484.64  AMD/$1 (versus former  482.01). 

At the same time, on the intrabank market USD purchase changed its  dynamics from 44% growth to 100% dropdown, within  a similar change  of trend in respect to  EUR purchase from  55% growth to 42%  dropdown. USD sales speeded up from 4% to 23%,  and the EUR  transactions increase  tendency slowed down from 23% to 11%.

At this, the intrabank RUR transactions with different dynamics  sharply increased: the purchase speeded up from % to 72%, and the  sales changed 3% dropdown to 33% growth. 

 As a result, the purchase totaled $117  mln at the average exchange  rate of 482.40 AMD/$1, 8.1  mln EUR at 502.76. AMD/1EUR, and 1.9 bln  RUR at 7.84 AMD/1RUR.  The sales amounted to $147.6 mln at the   average rate of 484.09 AMD/$1, 17.5 mln EUR at 508.24 AMD/1EUR, and  455.4  mln RUR at 8.03 AMD/1RUR. 

According to the source, during the previous week (December 19-24),   Armenian banks provided AMD loans worth 41.9  bln AMD and USD loans  worth $116.9  mln. 

During the reported week the USD and AMD based loans trend changed  from dropdown to increase.  Particularly, the volume of  of AMD  increased for 7%, and the amount of USD loans rose for 67%, meanwhile  a week ago the value  of AMD and USD based  loans showed dropdown for  14% and 24% respectively . 

To recall, in 2015, on the retail foreign exchange market of Armenia  AMD weakened against USD from 477 to 482 AMD/USD1 on average and  strengthened against EUR from 571.5 to 529 AMD/1EUR and against  Russian ruble from 8.2 to 6.9 AMD/1 RUR.  Between December 14 and 28,  the Central Bank made almost daily interventions.  AMD depreciated  amid decline of foreign trade turnover (by 20.6%), while import  dropped more significantly (by 26.5%) than export (by 3.9%) as well  as the decline in transfer inflow to Armenia more than by 30%, and  this happened in conditions of low buying capacity of the population  and low economic activity in the country.  Since early 2016, AMD  started depreciating again on the retail foreign exchange market of  Armenia to 496AMD/USD1, however since March it strengthened and stood  at 482 AMD/1USD by March 25. In overall in H1 2016 AMD appreciated to  477 AMD/USD1 from 482 AMD/USD1, devaluating in mid Feb (to 496  AMD/USD1 from 482AMD/USD1 on Feb 12), in the first decade of April  (to 484.5AMD/USD1 from 479 AMD/USD1), in mid May (to 480.5 AMD/USD1  from 479 AMD/USD1-on May 12), in the early and late June (to 479  AMD/USD1 from 478 on June 3 and to 477 AMD/USD1 from 476 AMD/USD1 on  June 30). In July AMD appreciated to 476 AMD/USD1 only in the  beginning of the third decade, after which it stood at the initial  level of 477 AMD/USD1. In August, AMD demonstrated revaluation - 475  AMD/USD1 by August 31 and stood at this level in the first ten days  of September, after which it further revaluated.  Thus, by September  30, AMD appreciated against USD and EUR to 474 AMD/USD1 and 532  AMD/1EUR, respectively. Along with it, AMD depreciated against RUR to  7.5 AMD/1RUR. In October AMD devaluated against USD to 476 AMD/1USD,  revaluated against EUR to 521 AMD/1EUR, while the AMD/RUR exchange  rate remained unchanged - 7.5 AMD/1RUR.  This trend continued in  November. By November 30, AMD depreciated against USD to 480.5  AMD/$1, at the same time appreciating against EUR to 511 AMD/1EUR and  appreciating against RUR at 7.4 AMD/1RUR. In early December AMD kept  depreciating against USD, at the same time weakening against EUR and  RUR, but in mid-December AMD appreciated against EUR and continued  weakening against RUR, retaining its position against USD.  AMD    started the year of 2017 with a devaluation to USD - from 484 to 485  AMD/ USD 1, to EUR -  from 505 to 511 AMD/EUR 1, and to RUR - from 8  to 8,1 AMD /RUR 1. 


News
Growth of vehicles with CMTPL insurance resumes in Armenia and an  upward trend in fees has been outlinedGrowth of vehicles with CMTPL insurance resumes in Armenia and an  upward trend in fees has been outlined
State Treasury of Armenia will put up for auction diamonds, emeralds,  gold and jewelry worth 1.5 billion dramsState Treasury of Armenia will put up for auction diamonds, emeralds,  gold and jewelry worth 1.5 billion drams
In H1 2021, Armenia reduced imports of natural gas by 0.2%, while  liquefied gas increased by 60.6%In H1 2021, Armenia reduced imports of natural gas by 0.2%, while  liquefied gas increased by 60.6%
Head of  CBA  took part in 22nd meeting of Advisory Board on Monetary  Policy of Central (National) Banks of EEU Member StatesHead of  CBA  took part in 22nd meeting of Advisory Board on Monetary  Policy of Central (National) Banks of EEU Member States
Construction of section of Sisian-Kajaran road in Syunik region of  Armenia will cost more than $ 1 billionConstruction of section of Sisian-Kajaran road in Syunik region of  Armenia will cost more than $ 1 billion
Mher Grigoryan to discuss agreement on common gas market in EAEU in  MoscowMher Grigoryan to discuss agreement on common gas market in EAEU in  Moscow
Rosatom Corporation and Armenian government are preparing memorandum  on construction of new medium-capacity nuclear power plantRosatom Corporation and Armenian government are preparing memorandum  on construction of new medium-capacity nuclear power plant
Affordable mortgage and more. Converse Bank is the partner of Build ArmeniaAffordable mortgage and more. Converse Bank is the partner of Build Armenia
EDB: Expanding abroad and domestic demand continues to support  Armenia`s industrial productionEDB: Expanding abroad and domestic demand continues to support  Armenia`s industrial production
Investment program for launch of Yerevan-Tbilisi high-speed train is  estimated at $ 400 millionInvestment program for launch of Yerevan-Tbilisi high-speed train is  estimated at $ 400 million
Armenia is exploring in detail the possibilities of launching a  regular ferry serviceArmenia is exploring in detail the possibilities of launching a  regular ferry service
Armenian government to allocate $ 50 million to transform Areni  community as a cradle of winemakingArmenian government to allocate $ 50 million to transform Areni  community as a cradle of winemaking
Papikyan and Kopyrkin discussed prospects for construction ofnew  nuclear power plant in ArmeniaPapikyan and Kopyrkin discussed prospects for construction ofnew  nuclear power plant in Armenia
In 2025, Armenia will allocate almost $ 1.4 billion for government debt repayment and servicesIn 2025, Armenia will allocate almost $ 1.4 billion for government debt repayment and services
AEON Corporation interested in construction of a copper smelter in ArmeniaAEON Corporation interested in construction of a copper smelter in Armenia
Iya Malkina: In Q1, the net inflow of mutual direct investments in  the EAEU amounted to $ 663.2 millionIya Malkina: In Q1, the net inflow of mutual direct investments in  the EAEU amounted to $ 663.2 million
EEC Forecast: Economic recovery in Armenia will be completed during  2022EEC Forecast: Economic recovery in Armenia will be completed during  2022
The best vacation destinations in the autumn of 2021The best vacation destinations in the autumn of 2021
Head of Central Bank of Armenia and member of EEC Board discussed  issues of Eurasian integrationHead of Central Bank of Armenia and member of EEC Board discussed  issues of Eurasian integration
"Electric Networks of Armenia" Company starts implementation of  second stage of modernization of electric grid facilities
Armenia to start developing innovative activities in cooperation with  Skolkovo FoundationArmenia to start developing innovative activities in cooperation with  Skolkovo Foundation
Tigran Khachatryan appointed Governor from Armenia in Boards of  Governors of World Bank and Asian Development BankTigran Khachatryan appointed Governor from Armenia in Boards of  Governors of World Bank and Asian Development Bank
FinRating ArmInfo: Profits of Armenian banks stagnate under the  burden of growing NPLsFinRating ArmInfo: Profits of Armenian banks stagnate under the  burden of growing NPLs
Overchuk: The unblocking all economic and transport links in the  region will increase the trade turnover between Armenia and RussiaOverchuk: The unblocking all economic and transport links in the  region will increase the trade turnover between Armenia and Russia
On October 20, REC organizes a business mission for Russian  manufacturers to ArmeniaOn October 20, REC organizes a business mission for Russian  manufacturers to Armenia
Andrey Sinyakov: We consider the completion of the second stage of the modernization project of the Agarak Copper-Molybdenum Combine as a serious anti-crisis measureAndrey Sinyakov: We consider the completion of the second stage of the modernization project of the Agarak Copper-Molybdenum Combine as a serious anti-crisis measure
Iranian entrepreneurs are interested in opening joint ventures with  Armenia in a number of areasIranian entrepreneurs are interested in opening joint ventures with  Armenia in a number of areas
Major Armenian-Russian business forum to be held in YerevanMajor Armenian-Russian business forum to be held in Yerevan
Gyumri Shirak Airport is ready to serve European budget flightsGyumri Shirak Airport is ready to serve European budget flights
Mher Grigoryan reports on certain difficulties in negotiations with  GazpromMher Grigoryan reports on certain difficulties in negotiations with  Gazprom
Standing Parliamentary Committee on Financial-Credit and Budgetary  Affairs approved Artak Manukyan`s candidacy for the position of  member of the Central Bank CouncilStanding Parliamentary Committee on Financial-Credit and Budgetary  Affairs approved Artak Manukyan`s candidacy for the position of  member of the Central Bank Council
Mher Grigoryan: In terms of the opening of railways, solutions began  to be consideredMher Grigoryan: In terms of the opening of railways, solutions began  to be considered
GeoProMining  announces  completion of the second stage of Agarak CMC  modernization project GeoProMining  announces  completion of the second stage of Agarak CMC  modernization project 
IMF sharply improved its forecast for GDP growth in Armenia for 2021 to 6.5%, but warns: IMF sharply improved its forecast for GDP growth in Armenia for 2021 to 6.5%, but warns: "Downside risks remain elevated" 
Economy Minister considers Central Bank`s updated economic forecasts  as pessimisticEconomy Minister considers Central Bank`s updated economic forecasts  as pessimistic
Armenian government to allocate about 357.5 million drams to complete  15 subvention programsArmenian government to allocate about 357.5 million drams to complete  15 subvention programs
Economy Minister on the situation with Iranian trucks: We have a  Economy Minister on the situation with Iranian trucks: We have a  "Plan B"
 Armenian accountants and auditors can grow professionally with help  of British Association of Chartered Certified Accountants Armenian accountants and auditors can grow professionally with help  of British Association of Chartered Certified Accountants
Armenian government approves the ratification of the Agreement of the  CIS countries in the fight against IT crimesArmenian government approves the ratification of the Agreement of the  CIS countries in the fight against IT crimes
Armenia and Singapore exclude double taxationArmenia and Singapore exclude double taxation
Government of Armenia ratified the agreement between the governments  of the Republic of Armenia and the Republic of Malta on the avoidance  of double taxationGovernment of Armenia ratified the agreement between the governments  of the Republic of Armenia and the Republic of Malta on the avoidance  of double taxation
The leadership of SRC of Armenia at a meeting with the head of the  FCS of the Russian Federation noted the special importance of  enhancing contactsThe leadership of SRC of Armenia at a meeting with the head of the  FCS of the Russian Federation noted the special importance of  enhancing contacts
American company Wabtec shows interest in the Armenian market American company Wabtec shows interest in the Armenian market 
Deputy Prime Minister on a possible increase in gas prices: Gazprom  insists that the amount of profit stipulated in the 2013 agreement  does not satisfy themDeputy Prime Minister on a possible increase in gas prices: Gazprom  insists that the amount of profit stipulated in the 2013 agreement  does not satisfy them
Drip irrigation. 5 questions and answers with Converse BankDrip irrigation. 5 questions and answers with Converse Bank
World Bank`s updated Groundswell report warns: Climate change could  force 216 million people to migrate within their own countries by  2050World Bank`s updated Groundswell report warns: Climate change could  force 216 million people to migrate within their own countries by  2050
Expert: The unprecedented rise in gas prices in Europe and EAEU  membership open new opportunities for ArmeniaExpert: The unprecedented rise in gas prices in Europe and EAEU  membership open new opportunities for Armenia
Central Bank of Armenia: In Jan-July 2021, the net inflow of  transfers from individuals increased by 78.5% per annumCentral Bank of Armenia: In Jan-July 2021, the net inflow of  transfers from individuals increased by 78.5% per annum
Efforts are underway to enhance seismic safety at Armenian NPPEfforts are underway to enhance seismic safety at Armenian NPP
EEC Forecast: In 2022, the negative foreign trade balance in the EAEU  will be reduced from $ 5.8 billion to $ 2.5 billion EEC Forecast: In 2022, the negative foreign trade balance in the EAEU  will be reduced from $ 5.8 billion to $ 2.5 billion 
Central Bank of Armenia: Consistent tightening of monetary conditions  has a sufficient impact on the regulation of progressive consumer  demand and on curbing of  inflationCentral Bank of Armenia: Consistent tightening of monetary conditions  has a sufficient impact on the regulation of progressive consumer  demand and on curbing of  inflation
Central Bank upgrades Armenia`s economic growth forecast for 2021 to  5.6%Central Bank upgrades Armenia`s economic growth forecast for 2021 to  5.6%
Central Bank Governor: Inflation in Armenia is more supply-drivenCentral Bank Governor: Inflation in Armenia is more supply-driven
Central Bank: Transfers from USA to Armenia are growing rapidlyCentral Bank: Transfers from USA to Armenia are growing rapidly
Armenia and Ukraine launched the improvement of trade and economic  relationsArmenia and Ukraine launched the improvement of trade and economic  relations
Official and real y-o-y inflation continues to accelerate in ArmeniaOfficial and real y-o-y inflation continues to accelerate in Armenia
Central Bank of Armenia once again raised the refinancing rate - from  7% to 7.25%Central Bank of Armenia once again raised the refinancing rate - from  7% to 7.25%
About 2 billion drams to be allocated for the installation of  photovoltaic stations in seven regions of ArmeniaAbout 2 billion drams to be allocated for the installation of  photovoltaic stations in seven regions of Armenia
"Veolia Djur" proposes to increase water tariff by 43.7 drams
Mher Grigoryan: Trade and economic relations between Armenia and  Ukraine have great potential for developmentMher Grigoryan: Trade and economic relations between Armenia and  Ukraine have great potential for development
Read more


Exchange rates
24.09.2021
RUB6.61-0.05
USD482.24-1.51
EUR565.81-1.24
GBP660.72-0.81
CAD380.17-1.70
JPY43.69-0.31
CNY74.65-0.06
CHF522.58-0.39