Monday, June 26 2017 15:39
Karine Melikyan

Armenian CB: In 2016, the financing of the state budget deficit sharply intensified at the expense of domestic sources

Armenian CB: In 2016, the financing of the state budget deficit sharply intensified at the expense of domestic sources

ArmInfo. The main drivers of economic growth in 2016 were the service sector and the industrial sector, and in terms of gross demand, there was an increase in consumption and export volumes.

As the conclusion of the Central Bank of Armenia notes, on the implementation of the state budget for 2016, the current account deficit in 2016 was 2.7% of GDP, remaining at the level of the previous year. As a result of the expanded fiscal policy, the deficit of the state budget exceeded the forecasted level for 2016 by 54.4%, which increased the deficit-to-GDP ratio to 5.5%. Such growth in the deficit affected the national debt, which, in conditions of low, rather than predicted, GDP levels led to a significant increase in the level of public debt in GDP to 56.7%.

The growth of budget revenues in 2016 was provided by income from direct taxes, mainly income tax, profit tax, as well as excise, turnover tax and targeted social payments. At the same time, revenues from VAT, customs duties, environmental payments and payments for the use of natural resources decreased.  The share of budget taxes and duties in GDP reached 21.3% in 2016. The coefficient of elasticity of taxes growth in 2016 to 1.6% from 0.1% in 2015. Current expenditures of the state budget grew by 3.5% in 2016, and expenditures on non-financial assets - by 1.7%.

As a result, lower performance of the state budget revenue (92%) than the expenditure part (over 99%), a deficit of 278 bln AMD was formed, versus 180 bln AMD planned for 2016. The prevailing level of the difference was financed by placing state bonds and attracting loans from external sources in excess of the amount planned. This led to a significant change in the share of financing sources of the deficit in 2016:  domestic - 38.6% and external - 61.4%, against 4.7% and 95.3% respectively in 2015.

In the long term, based on the primacy of providing the foundations for stable economic growth, the CB attaches particular importance to the consistent and effective implementation of Armenian Government programs aimed at promoting investment and infrastructure reforms.

To recall,  World Bank (WB) predicts GDP growth in Armenia in 2017 by 2.7% with the acceleration of the rate in 2018 to 3.1%, in 2019 - up to 3.4%. State budget of Armenia for 2017 laid the GDP growth by 3.2%. According to the updated forecast of Central Bank of Armenia, GDP growth in Armenia in 2017 will be 3.2-4.4%, according to the IMF forecast - 2.9%, according to Fitch forecast - 2.1%, EDB - 2.9% and Asian Development Bank - 2 , 2%. According to the National Statistical Service of Armenia, the GDP of Armenia increased by 0.2% in 2016 to 5.068 trillion drams ($ 10.5 billion), against 3% growth in 2015, against which the foreign trade turnover grew by 7.4%, in particular exports - By 20%, and imports by 1.6%. The state debt of the Republic of Armenia increased by 16% (up to $ 5.9 bn) in 2016, and external - by 11% (up to $ 4.8 bn), and internal - by 49.3% (up to $ 1.14 bn).

POST A COMMENT
Input digits     


News
Yerevan hosts 16th meeting of Armenian-Belarusian Intergovernmental  CommissionYerevan hosts 16th meeting of Armenian-Belarusian Intergovernmental  Commission
Armenia Securities Exchange, Central Depository of Armenia completed  ISO 27001 and ISO 9001 recertificationArmenia Securities Exchange, Central Depository of Armenia completed  ISO 27001 and ISO 9001 recertification
CBA significantly improves its forecast for projected export and  import growth in 2022 to 28-24%, from 5.1-8.3% previouslyCBA significantly improves its forecast for projected export and  import growth in 2022 to 28-24%, from 5.1-8.3% previously
The share of exports, imports and transfers in Armenia`s GDP in 2023  will decrease compared to 2022:  Macroeconomic project of state  budgetThe share of exports, imports and transfers in Armenia`s GDP in 2023  will decrease compared to 2022:  Macroeconomic project of state  budget
13th regional exhibition PANARMENIAN EXPO 2022 opened in Yerevan13th regional exhibition PANARMENIAN EXPO 2022 opened in Yerevan
IFC’s New Loan to Evocabank to Help Smaller Businesses Grow and Create Jobs in ArmeniaIFC’s New Loan to Evocabank to Help Smaller Businesses Grow and Create Jobs in Armenia
SRC chairman, IMF representatives discuss issues of ensuring access  to bank information for tax authorities informationSRC chairman, IMF representatives discuss issues of ensuring access  to bank information for tax authorities information
High-voltage power line to Iran damaged due to Azerbaijani shelling:  MinisterHigh-voltage power line to Iran damaged due to Azerbaijani shelling:  Minister
Governor: Due to the enemy`s actions, the Sotk gold mine is operated at 40 percentGovernor: Due to the enemy`s actions, the Sotk gold mine is operated at 40 percent
CBA further improves its forecast of unemployment rate: It is  expected to decrease to 14.1% in 2022CBA further improves its forecast of unemployment rate: It is  expected to decrease to 14.1% in 2022
FLYONE ARMENIA to start operating Yerevan-Milan-Yerevan flightsFLYONE ARMENIA to start operating Yerevan-Milan-Yerevan flights
Armenian tax authorities exceeded program tax collection target by  about $180 millionArmenian tax authorities exceeded program tax collection target by  about $180 million
Armenia to significantly increase capex for infrastructure projects  in 2023Armenia to significantly increase capex for infrastructure projects  in 2023
Yerevan becomes one of most popular destinations for Red Wings  passengersYerevan becomes one of most popular destinations for Red Wings  passengers
In 2023, government debt will be reduced to 50% of GDP, from expected  53% by the end of 2022: Draft state budget of ArmeniaIn 2023, government debt will be reduced to 50% of GDP, from expected  53% by the end of 2022: Draft state budget of Armenia
11%-12% GDP growth expected in Armenia in 202211%-12% GDP growth expected in Armenia in 2022
Yerevan Municipality, Asian Development Bank discuss new areas of  cooperationYerevan Municipality, Asian Development Bank discuss new areas of  cooperation
Tenders for construction of Kajaran-Agarak section of North-South  project to be invited Tenders for construction of Kajaran-Agarak section of North-South  project to be invited 
Armenian government discuss draft budget for 2023Armenian government discuss draft budget for 2023
With its new forecast for 2022, CBA further reduces decline in net  inflow of transfers from previous 13% to 7%With its new forecast for 2022, CBA further reduces decline in net  inflow of transfers from previous 13% to 7%
CB new forecast for 2022-2023: Armenian GDP growth will slow down  from 12.9% to 4.4%, and inflation will decrease from 10.3% to the  target 4%CB new forecast for 2022-2023: Armenian GDP growth will slow down  from 12.9% to 4.4%, and inflation will decrease from 10.3% to the  target 4%
The first snail breeding farm was established in ArmeniaThe first snail breeding farm was established in Armenia
EBRD improves its 2022 GDP growth forecast for Armenia from previous  4.5% to updated 8%EBRD improves its 2022 GDP growth forecast for Armenia from previous  4.5% to updated 8%
Armenian authorities` intention to construct a new, 1,200 MW, nuclear  power unit is erroneous- expertArmenian authorities` intention to construct a new, 1,200 MW, nuclear  power unit is erroneous- expert
Wizz Air starts operating Rome-Yerevan-Rome flightsWizz Air starts operating Rome-Yerevan-Rome flights
3rd session of Geographical Indications sub-committee under CEPA  between Armenia and EU took place3rd session of Geographical Indications sub-committee under CEPA  between Armenia and EU took place
Armenia`s GDP growth to be double-digit in 2022 - EconomistArmenia`s GDP growth to be double-digit in 2022 - Economist
 USD 25 million to support the private sector USD 25 million to support the private sector
Armenia`s economic activity increased by 13.9% in 8 months of 2022Armenia`s economic activity increased by 13.9% in 8 months of 2022
Armenia-Italy Textile Alliance Forum started in MilanArmenia-Italy Textile Alliance Forum started in Milan
Dmitry Volvach: Trading volumes of the ruble-dram currency pair  increased more than 1000-fold on the Moscow ExchangeDmitry Volvach: Trading volumes of the ruble-dram currency pair  increased more than 1000-fold on the Moscow Exchange
Armenia`s minister of economy hosts WB Country Manager for ArmeniaArmenia`s minister of economy hosts WB Country Manager for Armenia
EBRD launches climate governance platform for business leaders in  Ukraine, Georgia and ArmeniaEBRD launches climate governance platform for business leaders in  Ukraine, Georgia and Armenia
Another step in promoting the Armenian-Russian decentralized  cooperation: Pashinyan`s address to participants of Armenian-Russian Interregional Forum Another step in promoting the Armenian-Russian decentralized  cooperation: Pashinyan`s address to participants of Armenian-Russian Interregional Forum 
Iran Khodro Company starts supplying cars to ArmeniaIran Khodro Company starts supplying cars to Armenia
Armenia, China are considering  possibility of organizing direct  flights between  countriesArmenia, China are considering  possibility of organizing direct  flights between  countries
Expert: With the stabilization of the military-political situation,  the exchange rate in Armenia will also stabilizeExpert: With the stabilization of the military-political situation,  the exchange rate in Armenia will also stabilize
Gradual softening of the global inflationary environment will weaken  the inflationary impact from the external sector on the Armenian  economyGradual softening of the global inflationary environment will weaken  the inflationary impact from the external sector on the Armenian  economy
CBA significantly improves its forecast for GDP growth for 2022 to  12.9%, but expects inflation at 10.3%CBA significantly improves its forecast for GDP growth for 2022 to  12.9%, but expects inflation at 10.3%
Central Bank of Armenia raised refinancing rate from 9.5% to 10%Central Bank of Armenia raised refinancing rate from 9.5% to 10%
TOTAL opens training center in Etchmiadzin for training specialistsTOTAL opens training center in Etchmiadzin for training specialists
WB stands ready to continue to assist Armenian government in  implementation of priority programsWB stands ready to continue to assist Armenian government in  implementation of priority programs
Armenia`s producers to get 1% tax reduction for recalling spoiled  productsArmenia`s producers to get 1% tax reduction for recalling spoiled  products
FLY ONE Armenia transported over 200.000 passengers in its first year  in marketFLY ONE Armenia transported over 200.000 passengers in its first year  in market
Armenia`s minister of economy visits ski resort construction project  in Aragatsotn Armenia`s minister of economy visits ski resort construction project  in Aragatsotn 
Pashinyan instructs to find new investors for mines that are  currently not being developedPashinyan instructs to find new investors for mines that are  currently not being developed
AMD 4.676.836 to the “Rehabilitation City of Heroes” psychological center: the next beneficiary of “The Power of One Dram” is the 4090 FoundationAMD 4.676.836 to the “Rehabilitation City of Heroes” psychological center: the next beneficiary of “The Power of One Dram” is the 4090 Foundation
ACBA Bank fourth bank to join government-sponsored 10% cashback  programme for pensioners and reliefersACBA Bank fourth bank to join government-sponsored 10% cashback  programme for pensioners and reliefers
Presentation of Jobbit instrument held in Yerevan Presentation of Jobbit instrument held in Yerevan 
New power unit under construction at Kursk NPP could be serve as  standard for Armenia - ministerNew power unit under construction at Kursk NPP could be serve as  standard for Armenia - minister
Diaspora factor in Armenia`s investment portfolio is decliningDiaspora factor in Armenia`s investment portfolio is declining
Foreign investors present existing problems to Deputy Prime Minister  of ArmeniaForeign investors present existing problems to Deputy Prime Minister  of Armenia
Araratbank to put up for sale another tranche of dollar bonds worth  $3 million on September 8Araratbank to put up for sale another tranche of dollar bonds worth  $3 million on September 8
Ameriabank starts initial placement of another tranche of USD bonds  in amount of $10 millionAmeriabank starts initial placement of another tranche of USD bonds  in amount of $10 million
Pashinyan hopes that Moscow will regard relocation of Russians as  movement within EAEU: Putin sees nothing wrong with thisPashinyan hopes that Moscow will regard relocation of Russians as  movement within EAEU: Putin sees nothing wrong with this
Armenia`s premier on secondary western sanctions over intensified  contacts with Russia Armenia`s premier on secondary western sanctions over intensified  contacts with Russia 
Armenia is very concerned with unblocking transport links with  Azerbaijan Armenia is very concerned with unblocking transport links with  Azerbaijan 
Nikol Pashinyan links economic growth in Armenia with EAEU  regulationsNikol Pashinyan links economic growth in Armenia with EAEU  regulations
IDBank issues the first premium class business cards in ArmeniaIDBank issues the first premium class business cards in Armenia
Kerobyan: More than 50,000 Russian IT specialists arrived in ArmeniaKerobyan: More than 50,000 Russian IT specialists arrived in Armenia
Read more


Exchange rates
30.09.2022
RUB7.570.45
USD405.65-0.28
EUR396.081.84
GBP448.939.35
CAD295.90-0.77
JPY28.080.02
CNY57.140.05
CHF414.06-0.75