ArmInfo. The government program for 2017-2022, taking into account the personnel potential in the Cabinet of Ministers, is quite feasible. At the same time, no government is insured in case of force majeure, which can lead to some deviations in the planned indicators of economic growth. This opinion was expressed at the press conference by head of the department of management and business of YSU, candidate of economic sciences Karlen Khachatryan.
The program of the Armenian government's activities for 2017-2022, according to the expert, is the first such program and is written pretty professionally "For me, as an economist, it is very important that the program lists not only specific tasks in the spheres, but also targets with specific expected indicators and terms of their implementation," he said.
Karlen Khachatryan expressed his satisfaction with the steps taken by the government to promote the information and technological progress of society and the state, the planned reforms in the judicial and legal system, as well as legislative changes aimed at creating a comfortable business environment.
According to the expert, in many respects, the absence of an appropriate legislative base has caused a downward trend in the investments entering the republic. From the adoption, not only will it effectively combat the monopolies that are entrenched in Armenia, the presence of which creates serious investor fears and does not guarantee their protection.
According to the economist, during 8-9 months of activity of the current Cabinet of Ministers - a rather long time for understanding the potential of the government team. It is the belief in this potential, as well as the existence of specifically formulated goals and timetables for their implementation, that determine the expectations of the expert in terms of the feasibility of the tasks assigned. Unlike the previous government team, the current members of the Cabinet, according to Khachatryan, are great professionals in their business and good managers in their industries. In this context, he said, despite the fact that, given the experience of previous years, it will be rather difficult for the government to ensure the planned annual GDP growth at an average of 5%, if desired and with a number of external favorable conditions, this figure is quite achievable. Achievable and ambitions to increase exports in the country's GDP to 40-45%. Only by planning such ambitious peaks, the Armenian government can provide real growth of the country's economy, the expert said.
At the same time, the economist did not deny the essential dependence of the Armenian economy on the Russian economy. According to him, taking into account the same lagged - postponed - effect of dependence on the Russian economy, any negative trends there will inevitably affect the Armenian economy. In this case, according to the expert, no matter how realistic these objectives seem to be at this stage, they are likely to require adjustments.