ArmInfo. Fitch Ratings has assigned Armenia's forthcoming US dollar bonds an expected rating of 'B+(EXP)'. This news was published by Fitch on September 10.
The final rating is subject to the receipt of final documentation conforming to information already received, the Fitch notes.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
The expected rating is in line with Armenia's Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) of 'B+' with a Positive Outlook.
RATING SENSITIVITIES The rating on the bonds would be sensitive to any changes in Armenia's Long-Term Foreign-Currency IDR. Fitch affirmed Armenia's Long-Term Foreign- and Local-Currency IDRs at 'B+' with a Positive Outlook in May 2019.
According to the Ministry of Finance, at the end of July 2019, Armenia did not decide on the issue volume of the third tranche of Eurobonds, which, as expected, will be used to refinance the debt on 7-year issued securities in 2013. Earlier, on July 4, the Armenian Government approved a draft decision "On Establishing the Specifics of Organizing Procedures for Acquiring Services for the Issue, Placement and Repurchase of Eurobonds", thus starting the preparatory work for the placement of the third tranche of Eurobonds.
The volume of the issue of a new, third in a row, issue of Eurobonds, according to the Minister of Finance, will be at least similar to the amount that will be sent to repay the debt on Eurobonds - $ 500 million and will be held before the debt is paid on the first tranche, scheduled for September 30, 2020. To organize the process, the Ministry of Finance will appeal to the 5 best law firms and 10 international banks (underwriters through which Eurobonds are placed), according to the ranking of the world's strongest banks from Bloomberg. Legal advice to previous tranches was provided by Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton, an international law firm. To recall, according to the schedule for repayment of government debt, until 2054, the most peak in servicing the public debt will be 2020 and 2025. In 2020, Armenia will have to "allocate" about 417 billion drams or $ 857 million to repay the main amount of all government debt formed at the end of December 2018, and in 2025 the issue price will be about 406 billion drams ($ 834 million) . In both cases, $ 500 million of this amount are repayments on Eurobonds. It should be noted that today Armenia has carried out two issues of Eurobonds. The first issue was carried out on September 19, 2013, Eurobonds worth $ 700 million were issued with a maturity of 7 years, until September 30, 2020. The yield on the placement was 6.25%. The government repaid ahead of schedule a $ 500 million stabilization loan taken from Russia. The main underwriters were Deutsche Bank AG, London Branch, HSBC Bank plc and J.P. Morgan Securities plc. The second tranche of sovereign bonds in the amount of $ 500 million for a period of 10 years and with a yield of 7.5% was implemented by Armenia on March 19, 2015. Proceeds from the second issue of Eurobonds amounted to $ 488 million. Part of the amount received from the sale of these bonds in the amount of $ 200 million went to the redemption of the first issue of bonds with maturity in 2020. The remaining amount was transferred to the single treasury account of Armenia and sent to the budget system of the country.