Tuesday, October 18 2022 11:01
Naira Badalian

Armenia`s national debt in AMD terms down due to AMD appreciation 

Armenia`s national debt in AMD terms down due to AMD appreciation 

ArmInfo.This January-September 2022, Armenia's national debt increased by AMD $705.9 or by 7.7%, up to $9,963.6mln. AMD appreciation (15% USD depreciation against the  AMD this January-September - AMD 480/$1 to 405/$1) caused a 9%  decrease in Armenia's national debt or by AMD 398.1bln, down to AMD  4,031.5bln. 

During the period under review, the Armenian government's debt  increased by $630mln or by 7.2%, up to $8, 67.9mln (AMD 4, 209.8bln  by the end of 2021), up to $9,397.9mln, simultaneously decreasing by  AMD 394.9bln or by 9.4%, down to AMD 3, 814.9bln. In 2022, the  budgeted AMD/USD exchange rate is AMD 477.45/$1. 

Armenia's foreign debt (Armenia's debt to international organizations  and other states, funds received from Eurobond issue) decreased both  in USD and AMD terms: by $577.4mln (9.3%), down to $5.613bln and by  AMD 693.8bln (23.3%), from AMD 2,972.4bln down to AMD 2,278.6bln.  

Armenia's domestic debt increased by $1,207.4mln (46.8%) or AMD  298.8bln (24.2%), from $2,577.2mln (AMD 1, 237.4bln), down to  $3,784.6mln (AMD 1,536.3bln). 

The Central Bank's debt increased by 16.6% or by $75.9, from $457.7  or AMD 219.8bln (a 1.4% increase), up to $533.6mln or AMD 216.6bln.  Loans issued against the government guarantees decreased from  $101.4mln or AMD 48.7bln down to $87.1 or AMD 35.3bln. 

By the end of this September, the share of domestic debt in Armenia's  national debt increased from 29.4% at the end of 2021 up to 40.3%  (25.4% by the end of 2020), with the AMD debt from 28.28% (24.2% by  the end of 2020) up to 37.1%. The share of the government debt  borrowed at a fixed interest rate is 16.2% (17.1% by the end of  2021). 

Words pay no debts

This January-September, the budget deficit due to net borrowings  totaled AMD 161.6bln (591bln last year, with AMD 351.9bln under 2022  annual programme totaling). A total of AMD 172.2bln have been  attracted from internal sources (placement of government treasury  bonds), with AMD 250.2bln annual programme, with AMD 10.6bln  attracted from external sources (AMD 101.7bln annual programme).  

A total of AMD 132.2bln have been allocated to serve the government  debt of the budgeted AMD 213.7bln (AMD 181.6bln last year). 

According to the debt repayment schedule until 2054, next year  Armenia is to allocate around $1.1bln to serve the national debt  (without the CBA's debt) formed by the end of 2022, in 2024, a little  more than $1.1bln, in 2025, over $1.6bln, in 2029, around $1.4bln, in  2031, over $1.6bln. 

As of September 30, 2022, the unclaimed balance of the government  debt totaled $4,152.5mln ($4,481.1mln of December 31.12.2021). 

Creditors of Armenia

The World Bank remains Armenia's major creditor of Armenia (foreign  loans): the share of the International Bank for Reconstruction and  Development and International Association in Armenia's national debt  is 38.3%. The share of Asian Development Bank (ADB) is 17.5%,  followed by that of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) (8.7%),  Eurasian Development Bank (8%), European Investment Bank (1.5%),  International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD) (1.3%), OPEC  (1%), EBRD (0.6%). 

As to countries, among the major creditors are Russia (7.7%), Germany  (KFW) (5.3%), Japan (3.5%), France (2.9%), China (0.4%), and the USA  (0.3%). The share of the Abu Dhabi Fund for Development is (0.1%). 

Forecast by financial authorities

According to the approved 2022 draft budget, Armenia's national debt  is to reach AMD 4,986ln or 63.4% of GDP by December 31, 2022 (the  expected AMD/USD exchange is AMD 477.45/$1).

Under the Annual Foreign Borrowings Programme, in 2022, Armenia plans  to borrow AMD 227.8bln or $477 (the expected AMD/USD exchange rate is  AMD 477.45/$1).

By December 31, 2022, the government debt is expected to go down to  4,741bln or 60.2% of GDP provided a 7% GDP growth is ensured (against  AMD 4.275bln or 60.8% of the GDP forecast for the end of 2021). 

This year, Armenia is expected to direct 10% of its budget  expenditures or 2.7% of GDP to serve its national debt. The debt  structure will be considerably improved, with a larger share of money  debts and reduced currency risks. In 2021-2022, the share of AMD  government treasury bonds in the government debt is expected to reach  3.8% and 2.8% respectively. By the end of 2022, the share of internal  debt is expected to increase by 2.5% and reach 31.5%, with the AMD  debt to increase from 28.3% to 31%. 

On June 30, in presenting the 2022-2025 draft programme of  medium-term expenses and a 2022-2026 revised programme of debt  reduction, Armenia's Minister of Finance Tigran Khachatryan stated  that Armenia would reduce its government debt by the end of this  year. Specifically, the government debt/GDP ratio is expected to be  within 60% by December 31, 2022, against the budgeted 60.2%. The  state budget will be financed due to its own revenues. As a result,  the budget deficit/GDP ratio will be within the "safe" 3%. 

POST A COMMENT
Input digits     


News
1% idcoin instead of New Year’s suffering: practical tips1% idcoin instead of New Year’s suffering: practical tips
Energy sector one of major economic branches of Armenia - ministerEnergy sector one of major economic branches of Armenia - minister
Russian government presents results of 23rd meeting of  Armenian-Russian intergovernmental commissionRussian government presents results of 23rd meeting of  Armenian-Russian intergovernmental commission
USD transactions down RUB ones up in in Armenia`s interbank foreign  exchange market Dec 16 to 20USD transactions down RUB ones up in in Armenia`s interbank foreign  exchange market Dec 16 to 20
Idram Junior Donated Books to SchoolsIdram Junior Donated Books to Schools
"Gray deals" involving gold and diamonds seen in private transfers
Overchuk: Trade turnover between Russia and Armenia reached $10.2  billion in the first 10 months of 2024Overchuk: Trade turnover between Russia and Armenia reached $10.2  billion in the first 10 months of 2024
Armenian Deputy Prime Minister: Agricultural trade turnover between  Armenia and Russia increased by 7%Armenian Deputy Prime Minister: Agricultural trade turnover between  Armenia and Russia increased by 7%
Team Telecom Armenia`s Sustainable Development Bonds to be listed at  Armenia Stock ExchangeTeam Telecom Armenia`s Sustainable Development Bonds to be listed at  Armenia Stock Exchange
 EBRD invests $13.5 million  in Team Telecom Armenia`s $75 million  bond issuance  EBRD invests $13.5 million  in Team Telecom Armenia`s $75 million  bond issuance 
Are all funds protected in Russian banks?Are all funds protected in Russian banks?
Global digital cooperation gaining currency in interconnected world -  Armenian NA vice-speaker Global digital cooperation gaining currency in interconnected world -  Armenian NA vice-speaker 
Armenia`s economy minister, C-Quadrat Ampega reps discuss development  of Armenia`s capital market Armenia`s economy minister, C-Quadrat Ampega reps discuss development  of Armenia`s capital market 
RA Embassy in USA hosts special fireside chat on USAID`s lasting  impact in strengthening Armenia`s economic resilience and democratic  governanceRA Embassy in USA hosts special fireside chat on USAID`s lasting  impact in strengthening Armenia`s economic resilience and democratic  governance
Armenia committed to constructive cooperation within BSEC to advance  peace and stability in Black Sea Region and beyond - Armenian FM Armenia committed to constructive cooperation within BSEC to advance  peace and stability in Black Sea Region and beyond - Armenian FM 
Big Christmas Market with Idram, IDBank and idplusBig Christmas Market with Idram, IDBank and idplus
Armenia implements 10 investment projects in Eurasian region - EDBArmenia implements 10 investment projects in Eurasian region - EDB
Armenian government plans to hold IPO for its share in  Zangezur  Copper and Molybdenum CombineArmenian government plans to hold IPO for its share in  Zangezur  Copper and Molybdenum Combine
Armenia, Japan to sign convention abolishing double taxationArmenia, Japan to sign convention abolishing double taxation
EFSD to issue $2mln grant to Armenia to improve financing reporting  quality of government agencies EFSD to issue $2mln grant to Armenia to improve financing reporting  quality of government agencies 
Armenia, Hungary to sign economic cooperation agreementArmenia, Hungary to sign economic cooperation agreement
ZCMC paid AMD 33.249bln to Armenia`s state budgetZCMC paid AMD 33.249bln to Armenia`s state budget
Interregional cooperation high on agenda of Armenian-Russian  intergovernmental commissionInterregional cooperation high on agenda of Armenian-Russian  intergovernmental commission
Deputy Minister of High-Tech Industry, ITU Regional Director discuss  future cooperationDeputy Minister of High-Tech Industry, ITU Regional Director discuss  future cooperation
IMF Board completed the 4th review under the SBA with Armenia,  providing the country with access to SDR $24.12 millionIMF Board completed the 4th review under the SBA with Armenia,  providing the country with access to SDR $24.12 million
Armenia, Iran discuss tourism cooperation prospects Armenia, Iran discuss tourism cooperation prospects 
Armenia facing serious demographic challenge - Tigran JrbashyanArmenia facing serious demographic challenge - Tigran Jrbashyan
Lars open for cars Lars open for cars 
The Best Gifts for New Year for Your Loved OnesThe Best Gifts for New Year for Your Loved Ones
Conflict of interests between West and Russian to harm Armenian  nuclear energy - opinion Conflict of interests between West and Russian to harm Armenian  nuclear energy - opinion 
Laws designed to develop Armenia`s technological sector - minister Laws designed to develop Armenia`s technological sector - minister 
Development of nuclear diplomacy for Armenia is a strategic task -  expert Development of nuclear diplomacy for Armenia is a strategic task -  expert 
Converse Bank included in the list of Confirming banks of the EBRD  TFPConverse Bank included in the list of Confirming banks of the EBRD  TFP
Armenian Stock Exchange conducts first-ever government bond switch  actionArmenian Stock Exchange conducts first-ever government bond switch  action
IDBank, Idram, and idplus at the Big Christmas MarketIDBank, Idram, and idplus at the Big Christmas Market
Armenian-Russian Intergovernmental Commission meeting to take place  in MoscowArmenian-Russian Intergovernmental Commission meeting to take place  in Moscow
Converse Bank Deputy CEO and CFO, Grant Akopian, Elected to BACEE BoardConverse Bank Deputy CEO and CFO, Grant Akopian, Elected to BACEE Board
IFC anchors Armenia`s first sustainability-linked bondsIFC anchors Armenia`s first sustainability-linked bonds
Armenia`s Minister of Economy calls on Greek businesses to make use  of the benefits offered by the countryArmenia`s Minister of Economy calls on Greek businesses to make use  of the benefits offered by the country
Andrew Turner seeking ways to enhance trade relations between Canada  and ArmeniaAndrew Turner seeking ways to enhance trade relations between Canada  and Armenia
Greece interested in stregthening cooperation with Armenia -  Konstantinos Fragkogiannis Greece interested in stregthening cooperation with Armenia -  Konstantinos Fragkogiannis 
Russia leader in Belarussia, Armenia trade Russia leader in Belarussia, Armenia trade 
Armenian, Georgian railroaders coordinate plans for 2025Armenian, Georgian railroaders coordinate plans for 2025
Converse Bank has been included in the list of Confirming Banks of the EBRD TFPConverse Bank has been included in the list of Confirming Banks of the EBRD TFP
Yerevan   to host Armenian-Greek Intergovernmental Commission meeting Yerevan   to host Armenian-Greek Intergovernmental Commission meeting 
Expert: SMR technologies are still futuristicExpert: SMR technologies are still futuristic
RA NA Member: Thanks to EAEU, Armenia experienced significant GDP  growthRA NA Member: Thanks to EAEU, Armenia experienced significant GDP  growth
Armenia, Iran discuss potential for launching joint jewelry  productionArmenia, Iran discuss potential for launching joint jewelry  production
Lifting embargo by Ankara, Baku could mean loss of Armenian economy,  statehood - economist Lifting embargo by Ankara, Baku could mean loss of Armenian economy,  statehood - economist 
Armenia`s economy minister presents assistance programmes for  slaughterhouses Armenia`s economy minister presents assistance programmes for  slaughterhouses 
Armenia`s premier on objective of turnover tax revision Armenia`s premier on objective of turnover tax revision 
Slowly but steadily we are making progress: Health Minister  Slowly but steadily we are making progress: Health Minister  
Lars open for light vehiclesLars open for light vehicles
Armenian interbank foreign exchange  market increased significantly,  while ruble transactions decreasedArmenian interbank foreign exchange  market increased significantly,  while ruble transactions decreased
Acba Bank and IFC to allocate $50 million for MSME  development in  ArmeniaAcba Bank and IFC to allocate $50 million for MSME  development in  Armenia
Armenian authorities approved STARLINK license Armenian authorities approved STARLINK license 
Pashinyan: EAEU ensures economic development dynamics of its member  countriesPashinyan: EAEU ensures economic development dynamics of its member  countries
EBRD and AraratBank Join Forces to Promote Green Economy and Competitiveness in ArmeniaEBRD and AraratBank Join Forces to Promote Green Economy and Competitiveness in Armenia
RA Ministry of Economy, World Bank outline next steps for TRIPRA Ministry of Economy, World Bank outline next steps for TRIP
Loss ratio under MPTL insurance contracts showing continued upward  trend in Armenian insurance marketLoss ratio under MPTL insurance contracts showing continued upward  trend in Armenian insurance market
Read more
Exchange rates
20.12.2024
RUB3.850.02
USD395.050.14
EUR410.46-0.52
GBP494.09-5.04
CAD274.660.23
JPY25.200.04
CNY54.130.01
CHF441.540.69