Wednesday, February 22 2017 18:56
Alina Hovhannisyan

Expert: Improvement of economic situation in Russia will increase migration from Armenia

Expert: Improvement of economic situation in Russia will increase  migration from Armenia

ArmInfo. The improvement of  economic situation in Russia will increase migration from Armenia and  migration is expected to considerably grow if Armenia's economy fails  to accelerate its growth rates, Chairman of the Republican Union of  Employers of Armenia Gagik Makaryan said at a press conference.      Makaryan qualified migration as a negative factor but he did not rule  out positive trends stemming from it.  "From the economic viewpoint,  movement of labor force is beneficial to Armenia because we will be  unable to reduce unemployment, which has already made up 18% by  official data," he stressed, noting that the given indicator in the  neighboring countries is much lower: in Turkey - 11.8%, in Iran -  11.3%, in Georgia - 12%, in Azerbaijan - 5%.  

The increase in transfers from Russia is also a positive factor.  "Nearly 80% of the transfers (by the CBA's data - nearly 60% in 2016  - editor's note) to Armenia come from Russia. The growth of the  transfer inflow will have a multiplier effect on the country's  economy, which, in turn, will have a favorable effect on the trade  sector, small business, private entrepreneurs' activities and other  fields," he noted.   

The expert told ArmInfo's correspondent that in 2017 transfers from  Russia are expected to grow by 25%, which will facilitate poverty  reduction in Armenia. He added that today this indicator in Armenia  officially makes up 29.8%. The same indicator in Georgia is 15%, in  Turkey - 11%, in Iran - 9.8%, in Azerbaijan - 5.3%, in Kazakhstan -  4.9%. According to Makaryan's preliminary estimates, in order to  reduce poverty in Armenia twofold, it is necessary to increase the  transfers by 40%. "I suppose in 2017 we will manage to reduce poverty  by only 3-4% given the improvement of the situation in Russia, which  will result in the growth in transfer inflow to Armenia. But even  achieving such results, Armenia will still be in the lead in terms of  poverty in the region," the economist said. 

Makaryan noted that according to the forecasts of international  experts and structures for 2017, the Russian economy is expected to  grow by 1.1%. However, if the growth trends continue at the same pace  and if no problems with new sanctions arise, one should expect higher  economic growth in Russia, he said. In this light, Makaryan thinks  the Armenia-Russia commodity turnover will grow: the export trade  contracts will be concluded at favorable prices and import will be  carried out on more affordable terms. He also thinks that  intensification of the bilateral economic cooperation will result in  investments in Armenia's economy by the Russian private sector,  particularly, by the Diaspora. "The recent talks between the Armenian  and Russian prime ministers covered issues related to possible  creation of a special investment fund, which I think will encourage  the Russian business or the Diaspora to invest in Armenian economy,  especially in the sectors exporting goods to Russia," he said,  pointing at machine building, mining, power engineering, greenhouse  facilities, etc. 

According to the Central Bank of Armenia, the inflow of transfers  from Russia to Armenia dropped by 11.1% to $896.9 mln in 2016, while  the outflow grew by 16.5% to $333.4 mln, and the net inflow of  transfers from Russia amounted to $563.5 mln (down  22% versus 2015).  Russia's share in the inflow and outflow of transfers was the biggest  - 58.5% and 40.8% versus 61.8% and 37.6% a year before.

POST A COMMENT
Input digits     


News
Concept paper outlining creation of AI ecosystem global network to be  presented at  WCIT2024Concept paper outlining creation of AI ecosystem global network to be  presented at  WCIT2024
WCIT2024 officially launched with a focus on Artificial IntelligenceWCIT2024 officially launched with a focus on Artificial Intelligence
Ardshinbank started making international money transfers via UBPay systemArdshinbank started making international money transfers via UBPay system
Ameriabank - fintech partner of DigiTec2024Ameriabank - fintech partner of DigiTec2024
AraratBank Expands International Transfer Options with Golden Money SystemAraratBank Expands International Transfer Options with Golden Money System
10% idcoin with IDBank Mastercard cards10% idcoin with IDBank Mastercard cards
Armenia expects participation of French companies in implementation  of nuclear and renewable energy projects - PashinyanArmenia expects participation of French companies in implementation  of nuclear and renewable energy projects - Pashinyan
12.5% y/y increase in state budget revenues of Armenia in Jan-Sep  202412.5% y/y increase in state budget revenues of Armenia in Jan-Sep  2024
DigiTec2024 officially launched, with over 200 companies presenting  their innovative solutionsDigiTec2024 officially launched, with over 200 companies presenting  their innovative solutions
ACE interested in cooperating with Armenia in wine-makingACE interested in cooperating with Armenia in wine-making
Annual inflation in Armenia in September amounted to 0.6%Annual inflation in Armenia in September amounted to 0.6%
Armenian startups will have the opportunity to receive investments  from the foundation of the legendary Argentine footballer Lionel  MessiArmenian startups will have the opportunity to receive investments  from the foundation of the legendary Argentine footballer Lionel  Messi
More and more young people in Armenia dreaming of becoming nuclear  engineers More and more young people in Armenia dreaming of becoming nuclear  engineers 
Armenia improves its position in Global Innovation Index -2024Armenia improves its position in Global Innovation Index -2024
Ameriabank’s Special Offer for New Mastercard Holders.  1% Cashback and Lots of GiftsAmeriabank’s Special Offer for New Mastercard Holders. 1% Cashback and Lots of Gifts
Double-digit growth of import prices observed in Armenia`s foreign  tradeDouble-digit growth of import prices observed in Armenia`s foreign  trade
532.5mln transactions worth a total of AMD 9,782.7bln  effected in  Armenia in Jan-Sept 2024532.5mln transactions worth a total of AMD 9,782.7bln  effected in  Armenia in Jan-Sept 2024
We are conservative in making forecasts - ADB We are conservative in making forecasts - ADB 
Armenia takes over chairmanship of coordinating council of CIS  financial supervision bodies Armenia takes over chairmanship of coordinating council of CIS  financial supervision bodies 
Bakhytjan Sagintayev: Since the formation of the EAEU, the Union`s  foreign trade grown by 60%Bakhytjan Sagintayev: Since the formation of the EAEU, the Union`s  foreign trade grown by 60%
Cryptocurrency actively and uncontrollably cashed in ArmeniaCryptocurrency actively and uncontrollably cashed in Armenia
Armenia`s first regional landfill to be completed in HrazdanArmenia`s first regional landfill to be completed in Hrazdan
Mohammad Reza Aref: Iran is ready to play a more serious role in the  EAEUMohammad Reza Aref: Iran is ready to play a more serious role in the  EAEU
Mishustin: It is important to create single transport space, develop  international logistics corridors and establish appropriate  infrastructureMishustin: It is important to create single transport space, develop  international logistics corridors and establish appropriate  infrastructure
EEC to sign joint action plan with Uzbekistan for 2024-2026EEC to sign joint action plan with Uzbekistan for 2024-2026
RA government proposes granting new functions to Military-Industrial  CommitteeRA government proposes granting new functions to Military-Industrial  Committee
Next year `super-ambitious` for Armenia - expertNext year `super-ambitious` for Armenia - expert
EEC head presents Digital Union concept EEC head presents Digital Union concept 
EDB managing director on bank`s role in improved connectivity of  Eurasian nations EDB managing director on bank`s role in improved connectivity of  Eurasian nations 
Concept of trusted data storage central place in philosophy of  Armenia`s digital transformation - premier Concept of trusted data storage central place in philosophy of  Armenia`s digital transformation - premier 
EEC minister, heads of statistical services discuss cooperation EEC minister, heads of statistical services discuss cooperation 
Armenia-Georgia high-voltage line to be ready for operation in four  years - official Armenia-Georgia high-voltage line to be ready for operation in four  years - official 
Armenia could generate more energy for export - official Armenia could generate more energy for export - official 
Idram Junior and Koreez Summarize the Results of the Junius Financial Education CompetitionIdram Junior and Koreez Summarize the Results of the Junius Financial Education Competition
Vardan Janyan: We entering the second copper-bronze ageVardan Janyan: We entering the second copper-bronze age
Vardan Janyan: Despite its significant contribution to economic  development and tax base, Armenia`s mining industry stagnating since  2014-2015Vardan Janyan: Despite its significant contribution to economic  development and tax base, Armenia`s mining industry stagnating since  2014-2015
ZMMK CEO: Transition metals are new gas and oil for countries like  ArmeniaZMMK CEO: Transition metals are new gas and oil for countries like  Armenia
Armenia`s international reserves decreased by 14.6% annually by  September 2024, falling to $3.605 billionArmenia`s international reserves decreased by 14.6% annually by  September 2024, falling to $3.605 billion
The American Competitiveness Exchange (ACE Armenia) program launched  in ArmeniaThe American Competitiveness Exchange (ACE Armenia) program launched  in Armenia
Armenia`s defense budget to be increased 20% next year Armenia`s defense budget to be increased 20% next year 
Iran eases entry of vehicles from Armenia Iran eases entry of vehicles from Armenia 
90% of mutual trade within EAEU in national currencies - Bakhyt  Sultanov90% of mutual trade within EAEU in national currencies - Bakhyt  Sultanov
EEC hopes for formation of common exchange market by 2030EEC hopes for formation of common exchange market by 2030
7.3% increase in Armenia`s agricultural trade with EAEU member-states 7.3% increase in Armenia`s agricultural trade with EAEU member-states 
EAEU ministers of agriculture to meet in Yerevan EAEU ministers of agriculture to meet in Yerevan 
Armenian-Iranian substation Noravan to be completely equipped next yearArmenian-Iranian substation Noravan to be completely equipped next year
USD, EUR transactions up, RUB ones down in in Armenia`s interbank foreign exchange market Sept 23 to 27USD, EUR transactions up, RUB ones down in in Armenia`s interbank foreign exchange market Sept 23 to 27
Tourism development with support of WB discussed in YerevanTourism development with support of WB discussed in Yerevan
The Komitas Museum-Institute, with the support of the MESCS of the Republic of Armenia and Ardshinbank, opened the exhibition The Komitas Museum-Institute, with the support of the MESCS of the Republic of Armenia and Ardshinbank, opened the exhibition "Paris Meetings".
SRC: as of September 27, balance of preferential import of electric vehicles into the territory  of Armenia is 454 unitsSRC: as of September 27, balance of preferential import of electric vehicles into the territory  of Armenia is 454 units
IMF mission head appreciates Armenian authorities` efforts to reduce  cash turnover of financial resourcesIMF mission head appreciates Armenian authorities` efforts to reduce cash turnover of financial resources
Capital development discussed with Amundi-ACBACapital development discussed with Amundi-ACBA
AMD 17.2bln shadow turnover exposed in three months
700-space parking lot for heavy-duty vehicles to be built at Upper  Lars checkpoint 700-space parking lot for heavy-duty vehicles to be built at Upper Lars checkpoint
Conference Conference "10 years of the EAEU" to be held in Yerevan
Experience comfortable traveling with IDBank premium cardsExperience comfortable traveling with IDBank premium cards
In 2024 and in the medium term, economic growth to be driven  primarily by growth of services sector - Draft budget of the Republic  of Armenia for 2025In 2024 and in the medium term, economic growth to be driven  primarily by growth of services sector - Draft budget of the Republic  of Armenia for 2025
Ameriabank: Partner of the international technology conference EMERGEAmeriabank: Partner of the international technology conference EMERGE
 U.S. Government to increase grant assistance to Armenia by $130  million, to reach $250 million U.S. Government to increase grant assistance to Armenia by $130  million, to reach $250 million
Armenian Airlines launches Yerevan-Volgograd-Yerevan flights Armenian Airlines launches Yerevan-Volgograd-Yerevan flights 
Read more
Exchange rates
04.10.2024
RUB4.070.00
USD386.99-0.06
EUR426.85-0.61
GBP509.551.82
CAD285.54-0.49
JPY26.420.06
CNY55.14-0.01
CHF454.37-0.88